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POLICY/TECH: Harvard business school prof #3 doesn’t understand economics

And following up on Reggie Herzlinger and Michael Porter in my continued series beating up on Harvard Business School professors who don’t understand health care, I move onto a relative newcomer.

CHCF’s President Mark Smith interviews  Mr Disruptive Innovator himself Clayton Christensen in Health Affairs. Mark asks his a bunch of sensible questions about how disruption can work in health care (as compared to computers and high tech) with our different payment structure, concentration of diseases/costs amongst a few people and (implicitly) the long term non-episodic nature of the care required for chronic disease. And what does Christensen do? He ignores the parts that don’t make sense to him. The best example is this extract.

HSAs And The Individual MarketSmith: <snip> After all, if you’re choosing between a $150 doctor visit and a $39 MinuteClinic visit, this choice might drive your behavior and help develop a market for MinuteClinic. But the 20 percent of people who are responsible for 80 percent of the costs are often choosing between a $47,000 hospital bill and a $45,000 hospital bill–neither of which is something they can pay out of pocket. Can you think of anything that will result in similar pressure being applied to the high-cost segments of the markets, where we pay though an insurance mechanism and are likely to continue doing so?

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TECH: Does Asset Tracking Live Up to the Hype?

My latest piece for Digital Healthcare and Productivity is up. It’s called Does Asset Tracking Live Up to the Hype? By and large I think that it will while the folks at ECRI are not so sure.

Meanwhile asset trackers PanGo who got a brief mention in my piece yesterday merged with Innerwireless, a company that has its own (non-WiFi) tracking technology and provides (as the name suggests) wireless networks inside hospitals. What this does to PanGo’s partnership with Cisco, which also provides the odd network, someone cleverer than me will hopefully tell me.

BLOGS: Health Wonk Review Submission RULES for march 22

HWR makes a stop at The Health Care Blog tomorrow Thursday March 22. Please read this if you want to submit (which I do encourage!). The submission deadline is Weds (today) at 5pm PST.

Thinking back to the previous time I hosted HWR, I believe that the current set of submission tools make life very difficult for the host & despite certain improvements, that is still the case. In fact both TMBN Trusted.Md and Blog Carnival Submission are inferior to the original site Shahid Shah set up a long time back. So in order to prevent me throwing my toys out of the pram, I am requesting AND REQUIRING the following mode of submission for this week. These will take you LESS TIME THAN submitting the other way, but more importantly it will save me about 2-3 hours. 2-3 hours I don’t currently have to waste.

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HOSPITALS/POLICY/QUALITY: Harvard Business Professor #2 doesn’t understand economics

Today, following yesterdays lashing out at Reggie, the next Harvard Prof who’s been teeing me off is Michael Porter (and his Virginia colleague Elizabeth Teisberg).

I’d been meaning to comment on Michael Porter’s latest piece in JAMA (not that I get to read it being too cheap to subscribe), but I did see the write-up in The Boston Globe and I have read the book he wrote with Elizabeth Teisbgerg. Now even if Teisberg was somehow unable to be interviewed about it after her PR agent initially hunted me down (She wasn’t concerned that she couldn’t defend her ideas, per chance? Elizabeth, my podcast offer is still open!), it has made many otherwise sensible people go gaga. Apparently Porter gets $100K a day for showing up for hospital consulting gigs and McKinsey did a straight copy and paste of his ideas for one of their articles recently (and it costs a lot more than $100K for them to show up!)

Now to be fair the first chapter of their book has the most thorough review of what’s wrong with American health care that I’ve ever seen. I’ve always assumed that if you are a big-shot Professor at Harvard or Virginia you get the best research assistants that graduate stipends can buy, and that chapter certainly proves me out.

But as I said three years ago when he was talking about it, Porter is quite correct to say that many improvements could be made in health care. The problem, he says, is that we’re competing about the wrong things. He wants to change all that by appealing to providers to do it better.

Most proposals to overhaul US healthcare systems — including
extending insurance to all Americans — address the "margins" of the
problem, Porter said. Doctors, he added, must lead the effort to help
create "a system where everyone is rewarded for value." For
example, a patient undergoing treatment for breast cancer typically has
to make repeat appointments with different doctors and specialists on
different days. Under his model, Porter said, the same patient should
be able to walk into one building and meet various specialists on the
same day, and those specialists should immediately consult with one
another.Then, he said, the hospital should closely follow its
cases, tracking survival rates, recovery times, and patient
satisfaction, among other things.

Well this is brilliant new thinking. OK, so Codman came up with that last part about tracking quality measures over 90 years ago, and some other guy has been harping on about it for a while too. But now Porter’s on the case it’s bound to happen, and even though Codman’s grave and Berwick’s shop are a short cab ride away, why expect him not to reinvent that wheel? After all he’s not the innovator guy (more on Christensen coming later on THCB).

Unfortunately the same thing is true for that team approach centered around the patient. Kaiser Permanente has been talking about it (and possibly even doing it) for years. Even Bernie Salick was doing something like that in his cancer centers by attempting to build all the activity around the patients’ need. And they are by no means the only examples. But that was back in the 1980s. Obviously because Michael Porter brings this up now it’s a great new idea.

Or just maybe there’s another reason why this approach hasn’t happened. Perhaps, no one’s been prepared to use the power of money to enforce it on the medical establishment.

Because if you do use the power of money, they will respond in a highly market-driven fashion. And there’s a great example of this response in the very same issue of JAMA in which Porter’s words of wisdom are printed. Over at The Doctor Weighs In, Pat Salber gives an excellent explanation of the case in point which is is the rash of one-stop heart hospitals that opened in the late 1990s and early 2000s.

These seem to be the incarnation of what Porter and (lord save us) Reggie Herzlinger are talking about. Dedicated one-stop consumer friendly, high efficiency focused-factories that treat only one disease very well, and give a complete ranges of services centered around that consumer. But of course one minor, teeny issue, is that heart procedures are still more or less paid for an a fee-per-episode basis.

So what does the data tell us? You know the answer, but let me have Pat Salber tell you anyway:

Of course, it is possible that new specialty hospitals would just
compete with existing facilities in general hospitals, taking volume
from them, but keeping the overall rates of services the same. But that
doesn’t appear to be what happens when one of these cardiac specialty
hospitals opens in a community. Instead, the JAMA study documents that
there is an incremental increase in the number of coronary
revascularization procedures performed after a specialty heart hospital
opens. Capacity increases and more people get these procedures.

So unless we change the incentives behind the system, any new fangled way of doing things (team work, new dedicated focused-factories patient-friendly clinics, etc, etc) will be used by the system to provide more stuff to the same number of people and to charge more overall money.

The team work, the new processes, the new procedures, etc, all that good stuff Porter (and the rest of us) want to see more of will emerge as a result of incentives. Right now there aren’t really any incentives to provide care in a cost-effective and patient friendly way, which is why the outliers that Michael Porter wants everyone else to turn into are just that–outliers.

None of this stuff has any relevance to mainstream provider groups which essentially face economic suicide if they adopt any of his more extreme approaches–such as specializing in only one type of condition and competing nationally versus locally. What’s even more worrying is that that seems to be exactly what McKinsey is recommending.

Instead we currently have a market which is the result of a set of incentives that encourages more to be done. More to be done, it must be noted, in the absence of any evidence that more needs to be done, but in a market where cardiologists have a strong demand for second homes and newer Porsches. Hence the current mess with specialty heart hospitals. (And imaging centers, overuse of chemo drugs community oncologists, spine surgeons doing too many fusions, etc, etc… the list goes on).

What we need is to change the incentive system so that somebody (consumers, their agents, the government, someone) gets to make a rational choice about the right level to pay per unit of care as compared to other ways to get value from that marginal dollar. And the "unit" should be not the cost of a single procedure, nor a bundle of services for particular illnesses, but the average cost of care for a population over time. If there was real competition over dollars between agents/plans/aggregators/integrated systems (call them what you like) to provide the best answer to that conundrum — and people could walk with their attached dollars, vouchers, whatever, to the competition if they were doing it better — then you would see all the innovations, team work and Kaizen processes that you want.

That’s how it works in other markets. But those other markets don’t have the complication of third-party coverage which is essential to spread costs of the huge disparity in needs for care.

But that’s not where the health care market is now, and we’re a damn long way from it going there, and instead the money is flowing in the wrong place for the wrong things–as Porter points out. Getting there of course requires a political change because it requires fundamentally changing the entire insurance system, moving to universal coverage, instituting a visible or hidden set of subsidies, and doing a raft of other stuff that Alain Enthoven and others have been calling for since 1975 (or before). And they know how difficult that is.

According to Porter "Most proposals to overhaul US healthcare systems — including
extending insurance to all Americans — address the "margins" of the
problem".
How is that the "margins of the problem". It IS the damn problem and if it were sorted out all the things Porter’s talking about would more or less take care of themselves. 

I guess being a mere business school professor Porter just doesn’t have the economics background to understand why incentives matter so much in health care. On the other hand, if he can become millionaire from a mere 10 days work consulting in the field, then perhaps he does?

HEALTH PLANS/QUALITY: Setting up high performance networks leads to lots of trouble

Hmm…mistakes in health care data? Who’d have imagined that. Which leads to lots of politics in the setting up and creation of these “high-performing networks” and of course the ability for the baby of improvement to be thrown out with the bathwater of data incompetence, if poorly introduced.

What am I talking about? Well you’ll have to read Jeremy Smerd at Workforce.com on what went wrong when Regence tried to introduce a high-performance network for Boeing. And then too about how Group Health of Puget Sound Puget Sound Health Alliance did it in a rather kindler, gentler and less lawsuit attracting way.

It’s in the end the employers’ fault. There the ones who told their plans to back off from doing this when costs were (apparently) under control in the 1990s. So the plans gave up on limiting their networks, and as a partial consequence, costs went up, and then the cycle starts again. Of course, the same thing will be true for the whole P4P movement.

POLICY: Lord save us–Reggie is back at it again!

America’s most famous business school health care maven is back it again. Reggie has a new book coming out called Who Killed HealthCare?  I for one can’t wait to see if she’s managed to sit in on Logic 101 somewhere on the other side of those hallowed Harvard halls and bring that content back to her new tome. She certainly didn’t bother to include any of that in the last two go arounds, as I suggested in my review of her last book.  I’d like to tell you what I really think, but Jamie Robinson got there first in Health Affairs letter exchange back in 1998 responding to her letter lambasting his criticism of her book:


To the Editor:
If you liked Regina Herzlinger’s letter, you will love her book. In the larger work you will find the same measured tone, the same intellectual profundity, and the same judicious use of analogy and statistics.
Caveat emptor.

James C. RobinsonUniversity of California, BerkeleyBerkeley, California

While I have quoted Jamie’s letter before it’s been a while since I took a look at Reggie’s letter in the same issue. It’s just too good not to share this wonderful assessment of what was happening in health care in 1998.

As my book describes, the market forces that revolutionized the once-bloated U.S. economy are now reshaping health care. Activist consumers’ demands for accountability, convenience, and control are making the system more informative and accessible. The focused-factory concepts that revived the nation’s manufacturing sector and fashioned its world-class service sector are now shaping high-quality, cost-controlled health care delivery systems. And the sort of technological innovations that have increased productivity since the Industrial Revolution are improving the quality of health care while controlling costs. Brilliant entrepreneurs are using the managerial lessons learned from successes such as SamWalton to create a better, cheaper,more accessible health care system.

I for one am reveling in the fact that we now have a better, cheaper, (Cheaper?!!) more accessible health care system than we had in 1998! I guess Reggie, who learned the first rule of forecasting–never put a number or a date in your forecast–has only just learned the second. Never actually write your forecast down or let it be recorded.

But don’t worry she has learned that one now. A couple of years back she debated Alain Enthoven, she was apparently so distressed at what he did to her that she forced the conveners of the conference to remove her words from the transcript!!

The other good news is that she’s not the only Harvard Business School professor getting thoroughly confused by the simple laws of economics. More on Clayton Christensen and Michael Porter later.

POLITICS: Survey–wanna take it?

The nice people at SUNY Stony Brook want you to take a survey about political advertising on the Internet. The survey is anonymous. You will not be required to give your name. It should take 10 to 15 minutes to complete. This survey is designed to help us understand what Americans like you think about Internet advertising, modern campaigns, and politics. Here’s the survey

POLICY: Susan Blumenthal–wanting to change the world by studying it?

Susan Blumenthal, M.D (who I’ve met and like a lot) thinks that we can change the world (or at least the health care system) by studying it  a little more. Then the incoming President in 2008 will have all the answers and we just have to pass the legislation. (OK she doesn’t quite say that).
I’m all for more better information on what we should do and on what’s wrong now. But I’m torn. Don’t we know the problems already? Don’t we know the solutions? And don’t we know that the health care system actors will do virtually anything to keep the status quo going?

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