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Category: Kim Bellard

The Canaries Are All Dead

By KIM BELLARD

MIT is, most people would admit, a pretty good school.  Even those who don’t know a lot about universities probably associate MIT with science, engineering, and math, and in fact, it is one of the leading universities in the world for those (and other) areas. E.g., the QS World University Rankings have named it the top university in the world the last 14 years, USN&WR Global Universities Ranking has it #2, as does The Times Higher Education World University Rankings. There have been over 100 Nobel Laureate recipients associated with MIT. If you meet a Harvard grad you might think, oh, they may not actually be all that smart – they could be just a legacy admission, but if you meet an MIT grad you probably do expect that they must be smart, especially since MIT does not have legacy admissions. Even President Trump, who rails against “elite universities” and who has slashed science funding in his second administration (more on that later), can’t help but rave about his smart uncle who taught at MIT.

So when the President of MIT warns about reductions in research funding and in graduate school admissions, we’re not talking about the proverbial canaries in the coal mine dying. We’re talking about miners going down.  

In a video message last week, MIT President Sally Kornbluth warned of some startling losses: over 20% drops in federally funded research, in new federal research awards, and in graduate student enrollment. Overall, the school’s research enterprise has shrunk 10% in the last year.

Gulp.

“That is a striking loss for one of the most influential and productive research communities in the world,“ Dr. Kornbluth said. She added:

The fact is that we’re looking at a real drop in research being done by the people of MIT. It’s a loss of momentum for faculty and students and frankly, it’s a loss for the nation. When you shrink the pipeline of basic discovery research, you choke off the flow of future solutions, innovations, and cures, and you shrink the supply of future scientists.

Make no mistake: although MIT itself may be an outlier, what is happening to it is not. Ted Mitchell, president of the American Council on Education, told The Washington Post: “This is the first of many of these kinds of alarms that will be ringing,” Brendan Cantwell, a professor of higher education at Michigan State University, also told WaPo that if MIT is scaling back how it does research, that means universities across the country should be thinking about scaling back and adjusting. The ripple effects will go far and wide, and will have bigger impacts than we realize.

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Officers Eat Last

By KIM BELLARD

A New York Times interview with Rep. Jake Auchincloss (D – Mass) by Bret Stephens caught my attention. I am somewhat familiar with Mr. Stephens from his various pieces in NYT; he is definitely a conservative, but in the old, pre-MAGA sense where it meant you worried about spending but you didn’t hate people who weren’t like you. Rep. Auchincloss, on the other hand, was unfamiliar to me, but the headline of the interview – The Democrat Who Makes Me Listen – proved apt.

For me, the final line the interview summed everything up. Rep. Auchincloss is a Marine veteran, having served in Afghanistan. Mr. Stephens asked: “Final question. If there is one thing you learned in the Marine Corps which every American should know, what is it?” Rep. Auchincloss’s reply was succinct, to the point, and highly instructive: “Officers eat last.”

“Officers eat last” – wow. That’s a philosophy I can buy into. That’s a credo I hope I can live up to. That’s a slogan for a political movement I could get behind.

Of course, I’m not just talking about literally only Marine officers, and I’m not just talking about eating. I’m sure Rep. Auchincloss intended that it was a life lesson that should be applied broadly. I.e., people in authority should make sure the people they are responsible for get taken care of before they take care of themselves. I don’t think that attitude is solely responsible for the esteemed Marine esprit de corps, but it’s got to be part of it.

The trouble is, we don’t see much of that attitude in the rest of America. When Congress failed to pass a budget and millions of federal workers went without paychecks, they (and their staffs) kept getting paid. When the White House went slashing various budgets, it didn’t eliminate White House jobs.

If you want to keep your blood pressure under control, don’t even ask how generous the Congressional retirement package is. Suffice it to say that, if you are one of the few workers who still qualify for a defined benefit pension, it is almost certainly less than theirs. Don’t get me started on how members of Congress seem to get richer – a lot richer – while in office, possibly due to insider trading loopholes.

According to Gallup, only 10% of Americans approve of the job Congress is doing, with 86% disapproving, but they don’t care. They get paid anyway, and most House seats aren’t competitive, so most incumbents are in little danger of getting voted out.

This is no “officers eat last.”

It’s not just politicians.

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It’s Got a Good Beat and You Can Kill It

By KIM BELLARD

Most of us can identify dogs from cats just by the sounds they make. We could probably even separate a dog’s bark from a wolf’s howl. If you are a nature lover, you might be able to identify different species of birds by their calls.  If you are a cetologist, you might be able to separate the vocalizations whales make versus those dolphins make. Across the animal world, we’ve learned the different sounds that different species make, which has been useful in our survival.

But did you ever wonder if you can identify, say, e coli from other bacteria?

It turns out that you can, thanks to research at Delft University of Technology (TU Delft) in the Netherlands. Four years ago, they showed that bacteria made noise, which was, in itself, a startling finding (admit it: would you have ever guessed that?). They used a thin layer of graphene to create a graphene “drum” small enough to fit a single bacterium. Team member Cees Dekker observed: “What we saw was striking! When a single bacterium adheres to the surface of a graphene drum, it generates random oscillations with amplitudes as low as a few nanometers that we could detect. We could hear the sound of a single bacterium!”

The team used this finding to accomplish an important purpose: to find out if bacteria were resistant to specific antibiotics. If an antibiotic was applied and the sound continued; it hadn’t worked. If the sounds stopped, the bacteria had been killed.

The team wasted no time in creating a start-up – SoundCell – to commercialize the finding. It promised to identify the “right” antibiotic in one hour, rather than subjecting patients to rounds of different antibiotics in search of one the bacteria wasn’t resistant to.

The team isn’t resting on their laurels. Some of them got to wondering, huh, I wonder if different bacteria make different sounds. And, their latest research shows, not only do they but, through machine learning, those different species can be distinguished. Team lead Farbod Alijani says. “With this new study, we take a significant leap forward: we show that each bacterial species has its own nanomotion signature.”

Mind. Blown.

The researchers focused on three bacteria that are common in hospital settings: E. coli, S. aureus (which causes staph infections) and K. pneumoniae (which causes pneumonia). They tested two different machine learning models; one correctly classified the bacteria 87% of the time, and the other 88% of the time.

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Give That 1337 a Job!

By KIM BELLARD

Chances are someone in your family is a gamer. Maybe you are a gamer yourself. After all, somewhere between two-thirds and three-fourths of Americans play video games, and if you just looked at young men, it’d be closer to 100%. Grumpy older people don’t get it, complaining that gaming is just a waste of time, but gamers believe it helps with their problem solving (although at a cost of sleep).

Well, the good news is that if you are, indeed, a gamer, the Federal Aviation Authority (F.A.A.) is looking for you.

Last Friday Transportation Secretary Sean P. Duffy announced the F.A.A.’s campaign to attract “the next generation of air traffic controllers,” It is looking for people “who possess useful skills that are transferable to a career in air traffic control, including:

  • Demonstrated high cognitive functions
  • Multitasking
  • Spatial awareness
  • Strategy and problem-solving”

By all that, they mean gamers. The announcement goes on to add: “…this effort is focused on reaching talented young people pursuing alternative career paths, many of whom are active in gaming. Feedback from controller exit interviews reinforces this, with several controllers pointing to gaming as an influence on their ability to think quickly, stay focused, and manage complexity.”

There’s a slick YouTube ad too.

“When you bring on someone who has gaming experience, particularly with air traffic control, they have an edge up,” Michael O’Donnell, an aerospace consultant who previously worked as a senior F.A.A. official focused on air traffic safety, told Karoun Demirjian of The New York Times. “They’re coming in with a skill set. But it doesn’t replace aptitude, or discipline, or decision making under pressure.”

Surprisingly, the National Air Traffic Controllers Association supports the effort, with its president Nick Daniels telling BBC:: “Our union welcomes innovative approaches to expanding the candidate pool, including outreach to individuals with high-level aptitude skills such as gamers, so long as all pathways maintain the rigorous standards required of this safety-critical profession.”

To be fair, both the F.A.A. and the NATCA probably would welcome anything that might drive people to apply. The F.A.A. only has about 75% of the target number of controllers, leaving it several thousand short. Individual airports may be staffed even lower, as might certain times of day. It’s not a new problem and it is not a problem that is going to be quickly fixed; it is not as though today you can play a video game and tomorrow you can be an air traffic controller. There is definitely a learning curve.

It also doesn’t help that air traffic controllers aren’t usually paid during government shutdowns, which Congress seems to increasingly allow. “The failure to pay air traffic controllers for 44 days created uncertainty, drove many experienced controllers out of the profession and harmed the recruitment pipeline,” a spokesperson from the Department of Transportation told CBS News in November.    

Nor does it help that air traffic controllers rely on technology that is likely to be older than they are. The F.A.A. is trying, for example, to replace its outdated radar system, but NBC reports: “The FAA has been spending most of its $3 billion equipment budget just maintaining the fragile old system that still relies on floppy discs in places. Some of the equipment is old and isn’t manufactured anymore, so the FAA sometimes has to search for spare parts on eBay.”

The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) Chair Jennifer Homendy complained: “This is 2026. The secretary talks about upgrading our air traffic control system. We have an old air traffic control system. This is why he talks about that. We need to upgrade.” 

I was surprised to learn that gaming might not just be an asset to become an air traffic controller, but also an asset for air traffic controllers. Josh Jennings, a supervisor at the F.A.A.’s air traffic command center in Virginia, told Ms. Demirjian that gaming is both a way for controllers to stay sharp, and as a form of “social currency” among them. “I would say it’s probably tenfold on how fast this new generation is able to pick up on our physical tech, our radar scopes,” he said. Controllers apparently often play video games on their breaks.

In similar approaches to look for unconventional backgrounds, the Marines are looking at dirt bikers to become drone pilots, while Russia is looking at university students for its drone pilots.     

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Oh. Another Moonshot

By KIM BELLARD

If all goes well, in the next couple of days NASA will be sending astronauts on their way to the moon, for the first time since – gulp – 1972. They’re not landing, mind you, they’re just doing a fly around, something Apollo 8 first did way back in 1968. Given the advances in microchips, computing power, AI, a robust private space industry, and Elon’s grand plans to inhabit Mars, it doesn’t really sound all that ambitious, hardly a “moonshot” in the sense that we’ve come to use that term, but I guess we should be glad that NASA hasn’t entirely conceded space to the billionaires.

The Artemis II mission will send four astronauts – including, if you are counting (and many are), the first person of color, the first woman, and the first Canadian to reach the moon — on a ten day, 230,000 mile trip that won’t actually orbit the moon but just loop around it, not getting closer than a few thousand miles. “Things are certainly starting to feel real,” Christina Koch, one of the four, said during a news conference Sunday morning.

Last week NASA unveiled its “Ignition” strategy that Artemis II is part of. It includes not just the fly-by, but also a follow-up mission in 2027, a manned landing in 2028, and a permanent moon base in the 2030’s, committing $20b over the next seven years to accomplish the latter. “NASA is committed to achieving the near‑impossible once again, to return to the Moon before the end of President Trump’s term, build a Moon base, establish an enduring presence, and do the other things needed to ensure American leadership in space,” said NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman.

He added: “Today, we are providing a demand for frequent crewed missions well beyond (previously announced moon landings in 2028). We intend to work with no fewer than two launch providers with the aim of crewed landings every six months, with additional opportunities for new entrants in the years ahead. America will never again give up the moon.”

I knew Elon and Jeff were going to get something from all this.

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Calling BS

By KIM BELLARD

We are living, you’d have to say, in the age of bullshit. Our politicians can’t answer the simplest of questions without spouting word salad answers aimed at running out the clock until the next question. Our corporations spew endless platitudes about their lofty goals in an attempt to distract us from their mendacious profit-seeking. And now we have AI producing endless volumes of words, an unpredictable amount of which aren’t remotely true.

For better or worse (and, trust me, it has often been for worse), I’ve always been one to ask “why,” to probe vagueness — whether it was a teacher, a boss, or a politician. Call me cynical, call me skeptical, call me inquisitive, but I have a low tolerance for bullshit, in its many forms. So I was thrilled to see that a new study suggests that employees who don’t fall for corporate bullshit may be better employees.

The study is from Shane Littrell, a postdoctoral researcher and cognitive psychologist at Cornell University, whose research “focuses primarily on how people evaluate and share knowledge, particularly the ways that misleading information (e.g., bullshit, conspiracy theories, corporate messaging) influence people’s beliefs, attitudes, and decisions.”

One wonders what he was like as a child.

His new research introduces a new tool called the Corporate Bullshit Receptivity Scale (CBSR), which was “designed to measure susceptibility to impressive-but-empty organizational rhetoric.”

His paper defines “bullshit” as “a type of semantically, logically, or epistemically dubious information that is misleadingly impressive, important, informative, or otherwise engaging,” and distinguishes it from other types of speech (such as jargon) in that “it is both functionally misleading and epistemically irresponsible.” 

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Stuck in the Middle

By KIM BELLARD

Even before the war – oops: special operation, excursion, or whatever your preferred term is – with Iran started, people were complaining about how expensive things are. Home ownership for first time buyers seems out of reach. Sure, egg prices may be down from the late stages of the Biden Administration (thank you so much, bird flu!), but most of us are still dismayed by our grocery bills. Health insurance costs what a house might have cost fifty years ago and what a new car might have cost twenty years ago.

The latest findings from the West Health-Gallup Center on Healthcare in America show that a third of Americans have cut back on expenses in order to pay health care expenses. We’re stringing out their prescriptions, borrowing money, even skipping meals to pay our health care bills. Even among those with health insurance 29% are cutting back; 62% of those without health insurance are making trade-offs, and I’m surprised the latter isn’t much higher.

Similarly, Kaiser Family Foundation found that 4 in 10 Americans have not taken their prescription medications due to costs, and 6 in 10 worry about being able to afford prescription drugs for themselves or their families. Even among those with insurance, a majority worry.  

Gallup also found that Americans are delaying major life events due to their health care costs, including taking vacations (29%), surgical or medical treatments (26%), or changing jobs (18%). Even a quarter of those with family incomes over $240,000 report such delays.

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Trust No One

By KIM BELLARD

You know, it’s gotten to the point when I just try to tune out the things Robert F. Kennedy Jr. says. “Schizophrenia can be cured with a keto diet”? Sure, whatever. “The war on protein is over”?  Who even knew there was such a war? The carnivore diet is a great way to lose weight and gain “mental clarity”? It sure doesn’t show.

His most dangerous statements, though, are probably those related to vaccines. He was known as a vaccine skeptic – no, make that critic – long before he was named as HHS Secretary, but being Secretary put him in position to put his anti-vaccine views into action. He has revamped the committee that make vaccine recommendations, putting people on them that share his skepticism.

The committee has already made significant changes to childhood immunization schedules, and they’re not done yet. The head of the vaccine advisory committee isn’t just skeptical of measles vaccines, he’s not keen on mandating the polio vaccine either. His committee is expected to go after COVID vaccines next.

One particularly outspoken committee member, Dr. Robert Malone said: “I’m not deaf to the calls that we need to get the Covid vaccine mRNA products off the market. All I can say is, stay tuned and wait for the upcoming A.C.I.P. meeting. If the F.D.A. won’t act, there are other entities that will.” He told The New York Times that scientists or regulators who claimed COVID vaccines were safe are “either being disingenuous, or they are not considering the context or are ignorant.”

Meanwhile, RFK Jr.’s nominee for Surgeon General is, shall we say, big in the MAHA movement but not so much in medical professional circles, having placed her medical license in “inactive” status. Her own website brags that she “is considered controversial because her work challenges the economic and cultural foundations of U.S. healthcare, agriculture, and food systems.”

The impacts of these attitudes are neither academic nor far in the future: we’re already in the midst of an unprecedented measles outbreak that many attribute to the vaccine skepticism that RFK Jr. and his ilk have spawned and encouraged.

What caused me to write about this is a new poll out from KFF: Trust in the CDC and Views of Federal Childhood Vaccine Schedule Changes. Top-line finding: “the public’s trust in the CDC remains at its lowest point since the COVID-19 pandemic.”  Well, you can’t be surprised by that.

“Six years ago, 85% of Americans, and 90% of Republicans, trusted the CDC. Now less than half trust the CDC on vaccines,” KFF President and CEO Drew Altman said. “The wars over COVID, science, and vaccines have left the country without a trusted national voice on vaccines, and that trust will take time to restore.”

What I found particularly interesting is that, as Dr. Altman said, pre-COVID trust in the CDC was both high and across party lines. Republicans, though, lost trust during the pandemic and basically have never recovered. It took the Trump Administration to get Democrats to lose their trust – but, in fact, their trust still remains higher (55% versus 43%). Independents hover slightly above Republicans, but well below Democrats.

Specifically, about trust in childhood vaccine recommendations only about 44% have some or a lot of faith in federal agencies such as the CDC and FDA, and that doesn’t vary much by either party ID or support for MAHA.  E.g., 47% for MAHA supporters versus 43% for Not MAHA Supporters. What does it say about MAHA that believers don’t have faith what the creator of MAHA is doing? 

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It’s Only a Subsidy If You’re Poor

By KIM BELLARD

Even though most ACA enrollees/would-be enrollees have made their 2026 enrollment decisions assuming the expanded premium subsidies are not going to be renewed, the renewal of those subsidies is not entirely dead. Last week the House narrowly passed an extension, relying on a discharge petition and 17 Republican Congressmen willing to go against their leadership. Meanwhile, in the Senate, Senator Bernie Moreno (R-OH), of all people, is leading an effort to come up with a bill to expand them as well.

Whether it will eventually get passed is uncertain, as is how/when it might be reconciled with the House bill, and the President might just veto whatever extension might manage to emerge. The expanded subsidies aren’t dead yet, they’re just “mostly dead,” as Miracle Max would say.

The seeming indifference to the concerns of over twenty million ACA enrollees is appalling, but in character. This is an Administration and a Republican Congress that doesn’t like SNAP, Medicaid, school lunches, or aid to starving people in Third World countries, among other things. If you’re poor, they think, too bad; get a job, or a better job, and pull yourself up yourself. No handouts.

If they were against federal subsidies generally, out of fiscal prudence or other guiding principles, I could respect it. I wouldn’t agree with it, but it’d at least be intellectually honest. The trouble is, they’re not against subsidies per se; they just don’t like them going to poor people. I.e., the ones who need them most.

What set me off on this was a ProPublica/High Country News investigation into grazing on public lands. If you live in the East you probably don’t think much about either grazing or public lands, but if you live in the West you are probably very familiar with both. Almost 50% of land in Western states is federally owned. It ranges from 85% in Nevada to 4% in North Dakota. Almost half of California is federal land. You might be forgiven if you assume federal lands must be national parks, but they are small relative to land managed by the Bureau of Land Management (BLM), the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service (FWS), and the U.S. Forest Service (USFS).

According to ProPublica: “The federal government allows livestock grazing across an area of publicly owned land more than twice the size of California, making ranching the largest land use in the West.” Well, you might think, that’s not inherently bad; we might as well use the land for something, maybe even make a little money from it. That’s the problem; the federal government is practically giving it away. Its analysis found that the grazing fees charged amount to a 93% discount relative to the market rate. You read that right: ninety three percent. That’s not a discount, that’s a giveaway.

OK, that’s eye-opening, but if it helps a bunch of ranchers who are struggling to survive, maybe that’s not so bad; ranching goes back to frontier days and has a certain cowboy appeal. Unfortunately, that stereotype isn’t quite true.

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Brick by Brick by (Smart) Brick

By KIM BELLARD

I’m an innovation junkie, the further out there the better, but every so often it’s good to be reminded that just because a company has been around for a while, innovation is still possible.

Two examples: LEGO® and Kodak.

Let’s start with LEGO. If you are around any small children – and perhaps not even all that small – you probably have seen them playing with Legos. Legos have been around, in various incarnations, for longer than I’ve been alive, and that’s saying something. Most adults watching kids assemble their Legos probably have two reactions: “gosh, I wish they’d make them even more complicated” (note to the oblivious reader – that was sarcastic), and “well, at least they’re not on their screens.”

So I bet a lot of us have a slightly surprised reaction to Lego’s announcement Monday Jan 6th to CES 2026: LEGO SMART Play™.

The key innovation is the SMART Brick, which “is packed with technologies that bring play to life including sensors, accelerometers, light sensing and a sound sensor as well as a miniature speaker driven by an onboard synthesiser, and much more, in addition to easy wireless charging.” All that is powered by a custom chip, which is smaller than one of the studs on a LEGO brick.

The LEGO Group states: “Without any setup, SMART Bricks are magically ‘aware’ of each other’s positions and orientations in 3D space, thanks to a novel, high-accuracy, magnetic positioning system. They can also communicate via a self-organizing network that adapts to play. Advanced onboard systems let SMART Bricks comprehend and interact with each other, as well as the fans building with them.” “Magic” in this context meaning Bluetooth.

Nerdist calls it “the most exciting innovation in screenless play ever,”  

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