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Ryan Bose-Roy

OI May Be The Next AI

In the past few months, artificial intelligence (AI) has suddenly seemed to come of age, with “generative AI” showing that AI was capable of being creative in ways that we thought was uniquely human.  Whether it is writing, taking tests, creating art, inventing things, making convincing deepfake videos, or conducting searches on your behalf, AI is proving its potential.  Even healthcare has figured out a surprising number of uses.

It’s fun to speculate about which AI — ChatGPT, Bard, DeepMind, Sydney, etc. – will prove “best,” but it turns out that “AI” as we’ve known it may become outdated.  Welcome to “organoid intelligence” (OI).

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I’d been vaguely aware of researchers working with lab-grown brain cells, but I was caught off-guard when Johns Hopkins University researchers announced organoid intelligence (a term they coined) as “the new frontier in biocomputing and intelligence-in-a-dish.”  Their goal: 

…we present a collaborative program to implement the vision of a multidisciplinary field of OI. This aims to establish OI as a form of genuine biological computing that harnesses brain organoids using scientific and bioengineering advances in an ethically responsible manner.

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Ecology Rescued the AMA and Medical Professionalism Beginning in 1870. Will technology and science rescue the profession once again?

BY MIKE MAGEE

Medicine does not exist in a vacuum. The trusting relationships that underpin it function within an ever-changing environment of shifting social determinants. This is not new, nor surprising.

Consider for example the results of their 1851 survey of 12,400 men from the eight leading U.S. colleges had to be shocking. The AMA was only four years old at the time and being forced to acknowledge a significant lack of public interest in a physician’s services. This in turn had caused the best and the brightest to choose other professions. There it was in black and white. Of those surveyed, 26% planned to pursue the clergy, 26% the law, and less than 8% medicine.

It wasn’t that doctors with training (roughly 10% of those calling themselves “doctor” at the time) lacked influence. They had been influential since the birth of the nation. Four signers of the Declaration of Independence were physicians – Benjamin Rush, Josiah Bartlett, Lyman Hall, and Mathew Thorton. Twenty-six others were attendees at the Continental Congress. But making a living as a physician, that was a different story.

During the first half of the 19th century, the market for doctoring went from bad to worse. Economic conditions throughout a largely rural nation encouraged independent self-reliance and self-help. The politics of the day were economically liberal and anti-elitist, which meant that state legislatures refused to impose regulations or grant licensing power to legitimate state medical societies. Absent these controls, proprietary “irregular medical schools” spawned all manner of “doctors” explaining why 40,000 individuals competed for patients by 1850 – up from 5000 (of which only 300 had degrees) in 1790.

The ecology of 1850’s medicine couldn’t be worse. The marketplace was a perfect storm – equal parts stubborn self-reliance, absence of licensure to promote professional standards, diploma mills that showed little interest in scientific advancement, and massive unimpeded entry of low quality competitors. 

The legitimate doctors in those early days saw 5 patients on a good day. Horse travel on poor roads, and the absence of remote systems for communication, meant doctors had to be summoned in person to attend a birth or injury. And patients lost a day’s work to travel all the way to town for a visit of questionable worth. The direct and indirect costs for both doctor and patient were unsustainable. As a result, most doctors had multiple careers to augment their income.

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I Love Explaining Medical Things

BY HANS DUVEFELT

A lot of people don’t know much about how the body works. One of my jobs as a physician is to explain how things work in order to empower my patient to choose how to deal with it when the body isn’t working right.

On my blog I have written about this many times, for example in the 2010 post GUY TALK:

Guy Talk

One of the first challenges I faced as a foreign doctor from an urban background practicing in a small town in this country was finding the right way to explain medical issues to my male patients. They were farmers and fishermen without much experience with illness, medications or medical procedures. Most of them came to see me reluctantly at their wives’ insistence.

Gradually, I found my voice and a style that has served me well over the years. As a Boy Scout and grandson of a farmer with more than an average interest in automobiles, I have found enough analogies from my own experience to be able to cross the cultural barriers I have encountered in my new homeland.

I may explain risk aversion by talking about why some men wear both a belt and suspenders. Heart attacks and angina are, obviously, related to plugged fuel lines. Beta blocker therapy is similar to shifting your manual transmission into fifth gear. Sudden discontinuation of beta blocker therapy is like releasing an inadvertently engaged emergency brake while driving with your gas pedal fully depressed. Untreated hypertension is like driving down the highway in third gear, and orthostatic hypotension is a lot like getting poor water pressure in an attic apartment.

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Let’s Do Public Health Better

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BY KIM BELLARD

Eric Reinhart, who describes himself as “a political anthropologist, psychoanalyst, and physician,” has had a busy month. He started with an essay in NEJM about “reconstructive justice,” then an op-ed in The New York Times on how our health care system is demoralizing the physicians who work in it, and then the two that caught my attention: companion pieces in The Nation and Stat News about reforming our public health “system” from a physician-driven one to a true community health one. 

He’s preaching to my choir. I wrote almost five years ago: “We need to stop viewing public health as a boring, not glamorous, small part of our healthcare system, but, rather, as the bedrock of it, and of our health.” 

Dr. Reinhart pulls no punches about our public health system(s), or the people who lead them:

…the rot in public health is structural: It cannot be cured by simply rotating the figureheads who preside over it. Building effective national health infrastructure will require confronting pervasive distortions of public health and remaking the leadership appointment systems that have left US public health agencies captive to partisan interests.

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Myocarditis update from Sweden

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BY ANISH KOKA

The COVID19/vaccine myocarditis debate continues in large part because our public health institutions are grossly mischaracterizing the risks and benefits of vaccines to young people.

A snapshot of what the establishment says as it relates to the particular area of concern: college vaccine mandates:

Dr. Arthur Reingold, an epidemiology professor at UC-Berkeley, notes that UC also requires immunizations for measles and chickenpox, and people still are dying from COVID at rates that exceed those for influenza. As of Feb. 1, there were more than 400 COVID deaths a day across the U.S.

“The argument in favor of mandatory vaccination for COVID is no different than the argument for mandatory vaccination for flu, measles and meningitis,” Reingold said. “For a 20-year-old college student, how likely are they to die? The risk is very low. But it’s not zero. The vaccines are safe, so the argument of continuing to mandate vaccination fits very well with the argument for the other vaccines we continue to require.”

Safety is a relative term that needs to be constantly updated when you’re talking about administering a therapeutic to “not-yet-sick” individuals. We do not vaccinate against smallpox anymore because the absence of circulating smallpox (thanks to the smallpox vaccine campaign) makes the risks of the smallpoxt vaccine too great to be administered to the public.

We can argue endlessly about what exactly the risk of COVID19 was in the Spring of 2020, or 2021, but there should be little argument in 2023 that the risks of COVID pneumonia striking down a young healthy individual is now extremely low.

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A COVID-19 vaccine exemption letter

BY ANISH KOKA

I recently saw a young man who came to see me because his place of future employment, a large health system was requiring him to complete the 1º series of his COVID-19 vaccination. He was concerned because he had chest pain after his first mRNA vaccine and was uncomfortable with the risks of a second mRNA dose. He attempted to get a Johnson and Johnson vaccine and was told by pharmacists he was not allowed to mix and match this particular vaccine as he had already received an mRNA dose. With no other option, he came to ask me whether I thought a vaccine exemption was reasonable in his case. He already had a family medicine physician sign an exemption that had been denied by his future employer’s vaccine exemption committee. The young man works on the “back end” of the health system remotely from home and he has no patient contact. The entire process has caused him to lose his health insurance from his former employer, and he was now paying out of pocket for an expensive COBRA health insurance plan. What follows is my letter to the vaccine exemption review committee regarding his case. (Published with permission, only the relevant names have been changed/redacted)


Dear Vaccine Exemption Review Committee,

I am writing this letter on behalf of John Smith DOB: xx/xx/xx in regard to a mandate from xxxx Health that Mr. Smith receive a second dose of an mRNA vaccine to complete his primary COVID-19 vaccine series.

Mr. Smith has asked me to render an opinion specifically related to his cardiac risk of receiving a second dose of an mRNA vaccine. I am a board-certified cardiologist in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and have been in active clinical practice for 13 years.

After reviewing the details of his case, I have grave concerns about compelling him to receive a second dose of an mRNA vaccine and would like to outline the reasons for my conclusion in this letter. I am going to specifically discuss his risk of an important, now well-recognized, adverse event: vaccine myocarditis.

What follows is some important background information about vaccine myocarditis that has been gleaned over the last 2 years before I discuss the particulars of Mr. Smith’s case.

It is relevant to note here that as a physician active clinically in both the inpatient and outpatient arenas, I am an eyewitness to the severe toll COVID-19 took on my patients in the Spring or 2020. I was impressed enough with the initial mRNA vaccine data to acquire the vaccine available from the Philadelphia Department of Health (Moderna) and ran multiple vaccine clinics in order to vaccinate my mostly high-risk patients.

What follows is data produced since the vaccine rollout that is relevant to Mr. Smith’s case.

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Last in Line: Hospitals Brace for a Chilly 2023

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BY JEFF GOLDSMITH

As they emerge from the COVID pandemic, US hospitals have a terrible case of Long COVID.  They experienced the worst financial performance in 2022 in this analyst’s 47 year memory.  As the nation recovers from the worst inflation in forty years, hospitals will find themselves locked in conflict with health insurers over contract renewals that would reset their rates to the actual delivered cost of care.  “Last in line” in the US battle with inflation, hospitals will be exposed to public criticism when they attempt to recover from pandemic-induced financial losses. 

Hospital payment rates for commercial payers are backward looking. Commercial insurance contracts between hospitals and health insurers were multi-year contracts negotiated before the pandemic.  They continued in force during the pandemic, despite explosive rises in people and materials costs.    As a consequence, health costs were conspicuously missing from the main drivers of the 2021-22 inflation surge– food, housing, energy, durable goods, etc.    

Hospitals’ operating costs blew up during COVID due to a shortage of clinicians, the predations of temporary staff agencies, shortages of supplies and drugs and crippling cyberattacks that disabled their IT systems.   Hospital losses worsened during 2022 because they are unable to place patients who are no longer acutely ill but who cannot be placed in long term, psychiatric or home-based care (a problem shared by Britain’s disintegrating National Health Service).   Thousands of patients are stuck in limbo in hospital “observation” units, for which government and commercial payers do not compensate them adequately or at all.   

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There Is Something About Trains, Indeed

BY KIM BELLARD

Like many of you, when I heard about the Norfolk Southern train derailment in East Palestine (OH) on February 3, my heart went out to the people in that community. The train was carrying some hazardous materials, and no one was quite sure what was vented, especially when officials did a “controlled burn.”  Still, though, I didn’t think much about it; although I live in Ohio, I’m about as far away as one can be within the state.

Yesterday my local water company shut off access to water from the Ohio River. “We are taking this preventative step to ensure the health, safety, and confidence of residents,” said Cincinnati Mayor Aftab.  (Note: it reopened access today).

East Palestine isn’t all that close to the Ohio River, but whatever chemicals got into the local streams eventually started reaching it, and a “plume” of them slowly meandered the 400 miles downstream to here. Initially, the water company noted how small the particulate levels were – well below any danger – and that normal filtering processes would take care of them. Then they announced that they’d add a second filtering step, just in case.  I guess people weren’t reassured, because they still closed the intakes, if only for a day.

I can only imagine how worried the people in East Palestine must be.

The scary thing is that this derailment was not a freak occurrence.  There are about 1,000 derailments every year. Fortunately, most don’t involve either hazardous materials or result in deaths. If it’s any consolation – and it shouldn’t be – most hazardous material spills come from trucks, not trains (but, then again, trucks carry the most freight).   The odds are against bad things happening. But, with 1.7 trillion ton-miles of freight carried by train every year, the odds eventually result in an East Palestine (and there were train derailments with hazardous materials in both Houston and Detroit since East Palestine’s). 

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All Three Legs of the Obamacare Stool Are Working Well – Part 2

BY GEORGE HALVORSON

2022 Medicare Advantage data gathering process change made last year just made upcoding for plans irrelevant and impossible, but the critics do not accept that it happened. 

CMS just ended that upcoding debate for 2022 by completely killing the coding system for the plans, effective immediately. The plans can’t code risk levels up because the coding system was eliminated entirely for 2022.

RAPS is dead.

The payment approach for Medicare Advantage now has no upcoding components and the government just used their new and more accurate numbers to create the 2023 payment level for the plans.

The numbers went up a bit with the real risk levels because the plans actually seemed to have been undercoding in spite of their best efforts to have higher numbers in their RAPS data flow.

We should now be able to put that issue to bed and look at what has been accomplished overall by the Affordable Care Act.

The Medicare Payment component of the Affordable Care Act just evolved to a new level — and the entire Obamacare package should now be recognized for what it is now and what it has become. 

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Let’s Finish The Job

BY MIKE MAGEE

In President Biden’s State of the Union Address, the most oft repeated phrase was “Let’s Finish The Job!” This came as part of an appeal for partnership as well as an assertion that in his first two years as President much had been accomplished.

Several days later, as if on cue, U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) and Senator Chuck Grassley (R-IA), joint chairs of the Senate Subcommittee on Competition Policy, Antitrust, and Consumer Rights, announced that two bipartisan pieces of legislation focused on reducing the price of drugs to consumers had passed the Senate Judiciary Committee.

Both bills focus on the range of shenanigans Pharma firms have engaged in to extend their 20 year patents on blockbuster brands and delay generic versions from coming on the market.

The first bill – the Preserving Access to Affordable Generics and Biosimilars Act – is designed to prevent Big Pharma firms from flooding the FDA with sham requests for patent extensions. In the process, opponents have popularized a new term – “patent thicket” to describe the barrage of skimpy patent extension tricks companies use to extend their original 20 years of exclusivity. 

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