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A more palatable path to rationing

Rationing is a very dirty word in America, evoking grim images of wartime Great Britain and –in the health care context– withholding of needed care from patients based on cost. But cut back on costs we must, and with magical thinking about the deficit becoming every more popular, we’ll have to find other ways to convince folks to do it.

Patient safety is a promising guise under which to achieve cutbacks, especially in costly areas where the dangers are real. The new radiation protection bill signed into law in California yesterday is a great example. From AuntMinnie (Calif. governor signs medical radiation bill into law):

The bill requires that radiation dose be recorded on the scanned image and in a patient’s health records, and that radiation overdoses be reported to patients, treating physicians, and the state Department of Public Health (DPH).

The law is clearly focused on overdoses, but once patients realize how much radiation they’re being exposed to –especially by repeated CT scans– many will start cutting back on what they request or accept. Over time, perhaps this attitude will spread to other areas of medicine such as surgical procedures and prescription drugs, where the risks are not always recognized today.

The federal government has done a great job whipping people into a sustained frenzy about airport security. All the time I hear people say they’ll put up with whatever hassles it takes at the airport in the name of security, and it almost seems the greater the hassle, the more satisfied people are to be subjected to it. I don’t admire this approach in airport security, but if the same zeal were devoted to patient safety (with the idea of reducing health care costs) I think it could succeed.

David E. Williams is co-founder of MedPharma Partners LLC, strategy consultant in technology enabled health care services, pharma,  biotech, and medical devices. Formerly with BCG and LEK. He blogs regularly at Health Business Blog, where this post first appeared.

“What is… Wegener’s Granulomatosis?”

A terrific article in The New York Times Magazine this summer described the decade-long effort on the part of IBM artificial intelligence researchers to build a computer that can beat humans in the game of “Jeopardy!” Since I’m not a computer scientist, their pursuit struck me at first as, well, trivial. But as I read the story, I came to understand that the advance may herald the birth of truly usable artificial intelligence for clinical decision-making.

And that is a big deal.

I’ve lamented, including in an article in this month’s Health Affairs, on the curious omission of diagnostic errors from the patient safety radar screen. Part of the problem is that diagnostic errors are awfully hard to fix. The best we’ve been able to do is improve information flow to try to prevent handoff errors, and teach ourselves to perform meta-cognition: that is, we can think about our own thinking, so that we are aware of common pitfalls and catch them before we pull our diagnostic trigger.

These solutions are fine, but they go only so far. In the age of Google, you’d think we’d be on the cusp of developing a computer that is a better diagnostician than the average doctor. Unfortunately, computer scientists have thought we were close to this same breakthrough for the past 40 years and both they and practicing clinicians have always come away disappointed. Before getting to the Jeopardy-playing computer, I’ll start by recounting the generally sad history of artificial intelligence (AI) in medicine, some of it drawn from our chapter on diagnostic errors in Internal Bleeding:

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HIT Trends Summary for September 2010

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This is a summary of the HIT Trends Report for September 2010.  You can get the current issue or subscribe here.

Look beyond the EHR to healthcare transformation.  A big idea that continues to emerge this month is to think beyond the EHR and Stage 1 meaningful use incentives toward future stages and healthcare transformation.  Last month, in this column, we reported on a McKinsey analysis arguing that hospitals need to take the long view toward EHR and look for ROI beyond the meaningful use incentives.  This month we learn from a CHiME survey that hospital CIOs are optimistic about earning federal incentives, although KLAS reports that many express that they are not getting their money’s worth from current IT investments.  Epic users seem to be the major exception.  

The answer according to Daniel Marino, CEO at Health Directions, is to seek an ROI through deeper connections with physicians and patients.  These ideas are confirmed as well by a Deloitte report out this month that looks at HIT and patient-centered medical homes and by John Glaser’s outline of an HIT roadmap for accountable care organizations.  CIOs are also asking to be included in the work of the regional extension centers (RECs) through a CHiME network.  This seems like a good idea as we learn from an eHI report that progress at RECs has been slow.   

Mobile health will be a growing part of the solution.  PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) and Deloitte each released reports on how mobile health is increasing in importance.  The PwC report predicts a $8B-$43B mobile health market with the key being provider payment reform.  It proposes three emerging business models supporting transformation:  operational-clinical, consumer and infrastructure.  The applications include provider-patient communications from simple texting to virtual online visits.  There is some evidence that consumers will pay for getting detailed clinical information to providers for review.  The Deloitte report focuses on mobile personal health records (mPHR) and sees potential applications in obesity, post-acute, home care and diabetes.  An innovative partnership between Roche and InterComponentWare underscores these issues with a marriage of Roche’s mobile Accu-Chek software and ICWs secure application infrastructure creating communications solutions for diabetes.

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Health Innovation Week Press Conference, TODAY 11.15

Tomorrow we’re doing an early kick-off for Health Innovation Week, San Francisco. We’re having a public kick-off and press conference at the same place as this picture was taken. My guess is that we won’t get quite the passion, controversy or size of crowd that surrounded the Goodlett steps outside San Francisco City Hall at the height of the gay marriage month. But that’s where we’re going to be at 11.15 am Friday, Oct 1. Please come join us.

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PLACE AND TIME: Goodlett Steps (Polk Street side of), San Francisco City Hall

11.15 am-11.45am, October 1, 2010

Health Innovation Weekis a series of some 20 events in San Francisco between October 2-10 — these are events with over 2,000 attendees from all across the US and the world. San Francisco is a center of innovation in health technology, and Health 2.0.

Mayor Gavin Newsom has proclaimed October 2-10 Health Innovation Week in San Francisco.

Some of the leaders of the Health 2.0 movement will make brief remarks about Health Innovation Week and the importance of health care technology innovation to the health care system and the San Francisco Bay Area. Speakers include:

  • Jordan Shlain MD, CEO of Current Medical Group and Commissioner for the Health Service System City & County of San Francisco
  • Matthew Holt & Indu Subaiya, Co-Founders of the Health 2.0 Conference, the largest event during Health Innovation week. Health 2.0 takes place on October 7-8.

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Health 2.0 Reveals the Winners of the 2010 Developer Challenge

The time has come to announce the six winners of the 2010 Health 2.0 Developer Challenge. They will be showcased at the Health 2.0 Developer Challenge session at the Health 2.0 San Francisco Conference, October 7-8, 2010.

Drum Roll Please!

  • Project HealthDesign Developer Challenge, sponsored by Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Pioneer Portfolio and California HealthCare Foundation, chose team Pain Care @Ringful Health. The challenge asked developers to build apps for the web, smartphones or tablets that are built to run on a commercially available PHR service that can securely store the data.
  • The Health Factor – Using the County Health Rankings to Make Smart Decisions, sponsored by Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and University of Wisconsin Population Health Institute, chose team Acsys Healthcare. The challenge was an invitation for teams to create tools to integrate the Rankings data into smart phones, tablets or Web platforms that people already use to inform their decisions. The Ranking data provides people with a snapshot of a community’s health.
  • Real-Time Patient-Driven Data Challenge, sponsored by Practice Fusion, chose team Critsys from Critical Systems. The challenge asked teams to be a visionary in the frontier of patient-driven health data, by giving medical providers the tools they need to track their patients’ health when they’re not in the exam room.
  • Move Your App! Developer Challenge, sponsored by Catch and HopeLabs, chose team Happy Feet from Stanford University. This challlenge asked developers to build an app to encourage people to get in motion. How can movement be just as easy and fun as checking-in or updating a status?

The Blue Button Challenge, sponsored by Markle Foundation and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, will announce their winner at the Health 2.0 Conference on October 7-8, 2010. This challenge asked to develop a web-based tool that uses sample data from CMS or VA to help patients stay healthy and manage their care.

The Health 2.0 Developer Challenge Live Code-a-thon

We are calling all coders, designers and healthcare innovators to come to the Health 2.0 Developer Challenge Code-a-thon at Google on October 2, 2010. The Code-a-thon is an all day event where attendees can connect, collaborate, and build solutions in real-time.

This isn't any average code-a-thon. The people who come to this event will have a chance to experience ground breaking firsts and unprecedented opportunities.

  • The Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index will allow access to its health survey data. These datasets represent aggregate survey data that are non-identifiable to the respondents and provide useful measures of consumer views over time. Developers, designers and experts can build applications that integrate these measures with other elements of consumer health to gain better insight into health policy implications, new products and services, and many other applications. Members of the Developer Challenge can download the Gallup-Healthways data for free
  • First DataBank will provide its drug databases free-of-charge to anyone developing applications that require content to support medication-related decisions and help improve patient safety and health care outcomes. Members of the Developer Challenge will be able to request First DataBank datasets for free.
  • Winning Teams will be eligible for fun prizes and a select number will advance to a special Developer's stage at Health 2.0 to get a chance to present to leaders of HHS and the venture capital community.

Registration is FREEregister today! All you need to bring is your laptop and your creativity – we’ll provide the fuel, space and PRIZES!

Is REC a Future Train Wreck?

Yesterday, HHS’s ONC announced the final two Regional Extension Centers (RECs), one in California and the other for the state of New Hampshire. Much like the Land Grant College Program and the much smaller Sea Grant Program, the HHS RECs have been established to assist in the appropriate adoption and use of technology, in this case EHRs. Since the passage of the HITECH Act, there has been concern that harried physicians in small practices will struggle to take advantage of the HITECH Act and the incentives therein for the adoption and meaningful use of certified EHRs. (Geez that’s a mouthful). State RECs, staffed with IT specialists will be charged with venturing forth into the countryside and cities to help physicians adopt those EHRs and get those HITECH incentive payments.

Chilmark has some very strong reservations about the success of the REC program.  Well, we’ll go even farther to say that it is destined to go over the proverbial bridge, plunging into the abyss of failed federal/state programs.

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Health 2.0 Developer Challenge Winners/ Code-a-thon /Conference

Some of the first six winners will be announced later today….hang tight!  Here are the Challenges

Meanwhile any developers or people who want to meet developers, or who want to play with some really cool government data sets OR data drug data from First Data Bank and amazing health survey data from Gallup/Healthways, should sign up for the Health 2.0 Developer Challenge Code-a-thon at Google this coming Saturday. Not a bad place to come network, but a great place to get coding.

Oh, and today is the FINAL day you can get the regular rate to the Health 2.0 Conference before the price goes up! Conference is next Thursday & Friday, October 8–9

Unconscious in the Emergency Department

As State Health Information Exchanges and Federal efforts (NHIN Connect/NHIN Direct) implement the data sharing technology that will enable all providers in the country to achieve Meaningful Use Stage 1, I’m often asked  “but when will this healthcare information exchange technology be able to retrieve all my records from everywhere when I’m lying unconscious in the Emergency Department and cannot give a history?”

Here are my thoughts about the trajectory we’re on and how it will lead us to supporting the “Unconscious in the ED” use case.

Meaningful Use Stage 1 is about capturing data electronically in EHRs.  Getting healthcare data in electronic form is foundational to any data exchanges.   By 2011 we should have medication lists, problem lists, allergies, and summaries available from EHRs.

The data exchanges in Stage 1 are simple pushes of data from point A to point B – from provider to public health, from provider to provider, and from provider to pharmacy.   There is no master patient index, no record locator service, and no centralized database containing everyone’s lifetime health record.

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