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Looking Back From 2019: Why the Republicans Nationalized Healthcare

Screen Shot 2016-05-08 at 11.41.21 AMIt was the Mother of unintended consequences.

By the time of the 2016 elections, health plans, hospitals and health systems had squeezed and consolidated and trimmed and cut costs under the gun of lower Medicare reimbursements and the new rules of Obamacare — but mostly they had adapted. Most of them had survived.

On November 9, the country woke to find itself with a Republican President-elect, a Republican majority in the House, and a Republican majority of 55 in the Senate. The Grand Old Party was dedicated to repealing #EveryWord of the Affordable Care Act, the hated Obamacare which was, after all, “destroying the country,” “the worst thing to happen to the country since the Civil War,” and “equivalent to slavery.”

The changes to healthcare did not wait until Inauguration Day, much less until the 115th Congress could assemble to gut the law. They began instantly.

November 9, of course, was just nine days into the annual Open Enrollment period for plans under the Affordable Care Act exchanges. Many of the 12.7 million who had signed up for 2016 could see that the subsidies they were getting through the exchanges would likely disappear in the wake of the election, and decided not to sign up. “Why chance it?” as Betty Cornwall of New Rhodes, Kentucky, put it to Fox News’ Megyn Kelly.

Health plan strategists, masters of not getting blindsided by risk, decided that it was a bad idea to sign up millions of people for plans without knowing what would happen to the law. They did not want to get stuck with serving people who did not pay, and did not want to get blamed for dumping people after they had signed up. So most large health plans withdrew immediately from the exchanges, before many more people could sign up, draining the exchanges in many states of any choices at all.

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How to Save American Football

Screen Shot 2016-05-07 at 9.43.44 AM

American football is a great sport. It offers, requires, nurtures, and rewards speed, skill, strength, cunning, offensive and defensive strategic thinking, courage, judgment under pressure, competitive spirit, reliance on teamwork, a requirement for exquisite timing, and resolve. Football teaches a participant how to get up and get back at it after being knocked down again and again, a great life lesson. And football has the capacity to engender huge dedicated fan bases.

Unfortunately, as the supreme contact sport, it is also a collision sport and thrives on a degree of inherent violence. Thus, injuries are expected and common. Most heal, usually without any disability. Some do not.

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Misunderestimating the AMA

CMS just released their proposed MACRA regs (Cliff Notes version), and as you could expect, every specialty society and interested party dug in and critiqued.  The rule runs a thousand pages and will have a substantial effect on the future of provider payment.  In case, you have not heard.

Each organization will cut their sections of interest out, parse them, synthesize their analysis, and return a long letter to CMS. They will offer the correct paths on which the agency should proceed–lest they go forward uninformed taking down entire blocks of the healthcare system on account of willful neglect and ignorance.  The letters will start with a friendly salutation along the lines of, “We commend the Secretary on her wisdom and hard work….BUT, we have an eensy weensy problem on some issues,” and so the turn goes.

The inpatient docs will hit the rough patches as they relate to fitting hospital-based practitioners into an outpatient focused model; the nephrologists will sound off on integrating dialysis payments within a medical home; the surgeons will focus on attribution of adverse post-op events weeks after patients leave the hospital; and the pathologists will just throw their hands up and say, “huh, should we just skip this party.”

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“Medical homes” aren’t cutting Medicare costs

flying cadeuciiIn my last post  here, I reported that the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) believes Medicare ACOs and “medical homes” are unlikely to qualify as “alternative payment models” under MACRA (the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act).

In this article I review the evidence supporting MedPAC’s pessimistic assessment of “patient-centered medical homes” (PCMHs). I will review evidence that PCMHs are not cutting Medicare costs but are probably inflicting financial and emotional stress on many PCMH clinics. In a future post I will review the evidence on Medicare ACOs. Down the road I hope to comment on bundled payments. PCMHs, ACOs, and bundled payments are the three templates available to CMS to fashion APMs.

“Medical homes” may be raising Medicare’s costs

Within five years after the PCMH fad appeared, CMS had begun three demonstrations to test the ability of PCMHs to lower Medicare costs while simultaneously improving quality. The first of these demos, the FQHC Advanced Primary Care Practice Demonstration , ended in October 2014. The other two, the Comprehensive Primary Care (CPC) Initiative and the Multi-payer Advanced Primary Care Practice (MAPCP) Demonstration, will end this year. [1]

CMS has released evaluations of the first two years of the FQHC and CPC demos , and an evaluation of the first year of the MAPCP demo . CMS has delayed the second-year evaluation of the MAPCP demo. [2]

The findings presented in these evaluations are not good news for PCMH supporters. In a recent report , the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) offered this summary of the results of the three PCMH demos: “Among the office-based multi-payer models (MAPCP and CPC) and the FQHC/APCP model, little to no savings have been generated after accounting for the outgoing Medicare expenditures in care management fees” (see Table 2 of the report).

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A Deep Dive on the MACRA NPRM

Screen Shot 2016-05-05 at 4.20.36 PMAs promised last week, I’ve read and taken detailed notes on the entire 962 page MACRA NPRM so that you will not have to.

Although this post is long, it is better than the 20 hours of reading I had to do!Here is everything you need to know from an IT perspective about the MACRA NPRM.

1.  What is the MACRA NPRM trying to achieve with regard to healthcare IT?

The MACRA NPRM proposes to consolidate components of three existing programs, the Physician Quality Reporting System (PQRS), the Physician Value-based Payment Modifier (VM), and the Medicare Electronic Health Record (EHR) Incentive Program for eligible professionals (EPs), creating a single set of reporting requirements.  The rule would sunset payment adjustments under the current PQRS, VM, and the Medicare EHR Incentive Program for eligible professionals.

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Protecting the Health of Americans by Improving the Use of Antibiotics

Tom Frieden optimizedFew appreciate the threat of antibiotic resistance to human medicine more than readers of this blog. You know antibiotics as lifesaving “miracle” drugs that treat sepsis, save victims of burns and trauma, and are crucial to survival of patients receiving transplants and cancer treatment.  At the same time, you understand the devastating consequences when these drugs don’t work anymore—when infections become resistant.

The overuse of antibiotics breeds antibiotic-resistant infections that threaten patients, hospitals, and our entire health care system.  Resistant infections mean more and longer hospitalizations, increased hospital costs, and higher mortality.  As clinicians, it is our job to help our colleagues in the medical community and the American public better understand the risk posed by inappropriate use of antibiotics.  Patients and the community benefit from more appropriate antibiotic use, which reduces risks for the individual patient as well as the entire community.

A new, first-of-its-kind analysis of antibiotic use in US doctor’s offices and emergency departments, published in the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA), highlights how common inappropriate antibiotic prescribing is.  CDC, in collaboration with The PEW Charitable Trusts and other public health and medical experts, found at least a third of antibiotics are given when the patient does not need them. This overuse, largely due to overprescribing for relatively minor illnesses including common colds, sore throats, and ear infections – for which antibiotics are not effective – amounts to 47 million excess antibiotic prescriptions each year.

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Fact Checking the Health Reform Debate

Paul KeckleyOpinions about the U.S. health system vary widely based largely on our individual experiences as users from time to time. And most Americans don’t think of it as a system at all. Rather, it’s a collection of doctors, hospitals, insurers, drug and device manufacturers and others that operate in a complicated, disconnected, expensive industry that’s increasingly difficult to navigate and afford.

Little wonder that opinions about health reform and the Affordable Care Act divide our nation: half see it as over-reach by the federal government that threatens a system best left alone, and half see it as a remedy for systemic flaws. Both argue their positions fervently, and neither is inclined to consider the view of the other. And in both camps, there are widely held misconceptions that run counter to what’s actually known.

For those who oppose health reform and the ACA and are predisposed toward its undoing, the biggest misconceptions are…Continue reading…

ACO 552: The Advanced Class

flying cadeuciiLisa Bari, a Master of Public Health candidate at Harvard, attempts to take me to ACO school in her response to a piece I wrote. I welcome the discussion.  Game on!

Lisa’s initial point, and the one she ends on, seems to say my argument falls apart because I somehow don’t understand the difference between a commercial ACO and a Medicare ACO.  I beg to differ.  She states that CMS cannot be held responsible for a commercial non-governmental agreement between a private insurer and a group of health care providers.

I guess you do need to go to Harvard to decipher this stuff.  Is the implication that the only ACO model the architect of the ACOs are responsible for is the initial Pioneer model? It makes no sense.  To recap:  CMS was instructed to create ACO’s. There are 2 programs to do this.  The Pioneer model, and Medicare shared savings program (MSSP).  As I understand it, the large regional ACO next to me is set up as part of the MSSP.  Someone makes a payment to these ACOs when there are cost savings, right?  By the end of her first paragraph, one almost has the impression that ACO’s are a renegade program that emerged from thin air between insurers and health care providers. Yes, a commercial insurer decides to make an agreement with an ACO and they set a $4 rate. I guess I am to assume if the govt/CMS did it directly it would be much more.  And I do realize that ACO’s are for PCPs, and not designed for specialists.  The only reason I think I have any ‘contract’ at all is because I have a PCP I work with.  My point with regards to the ACO payment was that I have no clue where that $4 is going – but that compensation for care coordination at that level is inadequate, and would require quite the mix of healthy:sick to make that work.  Is there another number you can give me so I can take an opinion on the matter – or should I just continue to trust our fearless leaders?

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ACO 101: Koka Completely Misses The Mark on Medicare ACOs

flying cadeuciiRecently, Anish Koka, MD, a Cardiologist from Pennsylvania, posted his anti-Accountable Care Organization (ACO) manifesto here on The Health Care Blog. [1] Koka argues that ACOs don’t work and are doomed to fail because they were designed by non-practicing physician policymakers and academics in ivory towers. He appears to be basing his judgment on a commercial ACO contract that only pays him $4 per month extra for care coordination and requires that he meet specific quality measures. He is also conflating his experience in a commercial ACO with Medicare ACOs, and interprets the initial results of one Medicare ACO program to mean that all ACOs are a failure. Finally, he relays an anecdote of caring for one of his patients, Mrs. K, a patient with chronic illness who doesn’t want to take her medication.

In his post, Dr. Koka calls out “well-meaning, hard-working folks that own a Harvard Crimson sweater…[whose] intent is to fundamentally change how health care is provided.” As luck would have it, I do own a Harvard Crimson sweater, and I’d like to respond.

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