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PHYSICIANS: Docs believing in God, not as many as you’d think

I’m the ultimate American outcast in that I’m an atheist (or as we’re known now secular humanist), who thinks that (as one old friend put it) "all religions from the Bhagwan Rajneesh to the Unitarians are only interested in putting their hand in your pocket".

But I accept that makes me pretty unusual in America where roughly 90% of the population reliably polls as believing in God  (although I’d fit in OK in Sweden and most of Europe).

God

What I fund pretty interesting was a survey that came out last summer but was just featured in Forbes. The authors seem to be all excited that they found that American physicians were likely to believe in God and have it influence their daily lives. That’s because they were comparing physicians to scientists, who have very low rates of religious belief.

But what I found interesting was that only 76% of physicians said that they believed in God. If we take that to include a wide meaning of "God", that means that in their beliefs about religion, physicians look more like Europeans than Americans.

But I have no idea what conclusions to draw from that for the health system.

POLICY: Pat Salber says we should change policy on food availability

Pretty scary stuff from Pat Salber over at Peertrainer: The Doctor Weighs in on The epidemic of childhood obesity.

It is estimated that boys born in the US in the year 2000 have a 30% chance of developing Type 2 diabetes during their lifetime; girls have a 40 percent chance. Think of that: 1 in 3 boys and close to half of girls who are now in kindergarten will become diabetic at some point in their lives. 

Pat is right. If you’ve seen SuperSize Me or read Fast Food Nation you just know that we are with food where we were with smoking in the early 1960s. It’s going to be a 30–50 year battle, but in the end the forces that will have to pay the costs of obesity will gang up on the big food vendors and producers. It will remain a private choice, but one that is increasingly difficult to get to due to limits on access and social opprobrium. And the obvious place to start, as Arnie knows, is in the school cafeteria and with commercials. After all we know the commercials work, or they wouldn’t be on TV!

I did see this most amusing article a while back that showed that watching violence on TV didn’t make anyone violent, but watching food made 36% of the viewers want to eat.  I know it’s true! I personally am in the middle of one of my violent diets. I have taken a month off-booze, off-cards, off-sugar and off-meat three times since January 2005, and gone seriously onto working out at the gym. The good news is that I’m back snowboarding with no problems and have lost around 30 pounds. The bad news is that any restaurant or food commercial is making me ravenous! And boy do I miss my chocolate milk!

INTERNATIONAL: Exactly what care does a pregnant woman need? with UPDATE

Lynn Payer wrote a great book a while back called Medicine and Culture. I remember that Americans were put on medication if their blood pressure was too high, and Germans were put on medication if their blood pressure was too low. Here’s an amazing example of differences in medical treatment between the UK and Germany for the same “condition” — normal pregnancy. Be sure to read the comments!

NHS Blog Doctor: Vaginal examinations in pregnancy

 I asked a leading UK ObGyn with whom I’ve had a life long relationship what he thought. Here are my dad’s comments:

I agree entirely with Dr Crippen, vaginal examinations in pregnancy require a proper indication. apart from that there is no indication for performing vaginal ultrasound after about 13 weeks as abdominal u/s gives more information. About the only indications for v/e in pregnancy are to give an assessment of pelvic size in late pregnancy if the head does not engage in a primigravida (prior to xray pelvimetry if elective c/s for disproportion is contemplated) or to assess the state of the cervix if labour (in your language, labor!) is to be induced. In early pregnancy the only indication I would accept is in the investigation of vaginal infection (discharge). If there is any doubt as to the progress of early pregnancy, either diagnosis or possible missed abortion then vaginal u/s is indicated.

POLICY: I think Borowitz has got it

From the always good but sometimes brilliant The Borowitz Report. This one finally explains the point of Medicare Part D.

U.S. CONFUSES INSURGENTS WITH PRESCRIPTION DRUG PLANMilitary Launches ‘Operation Incomprehensible Program’ Across IraqIn an effort to confuse Iraqi insurgents, the Pentagon announced today that the U.S. had begun bombarding insurgent positions with copies of President Bush’s Medicare prescription drug plan.At a press briefing at the Pentagon, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld said that the idea of confusing the insurgents with the President’s Medicare plan was hatched last week, after Mr. Bush appeared at a series of town hall meetings at which seniors in his audience seemed thoroughly bewildered by the intricate new program.“We realized, if this prescription drug plan is that confusing in English, imagine how incoherent it would seem once it was translated into Arabic,” Secretary Rumsfeld said.As soon as Pentagon planners seized upon the idea of using the
President’s plan to confuse the insurgents, Operation Incomprehensible
Program was launched.

According to Secretary Rumsfeld, U.S. warplanes pounded insurgent
positions in the citiers of Tikrit and Najaf with copies of the
prescription drug plan in the early morning hours of Monday.
Mr. Rumsfeld said that satellite photos of those positions have
been encouraging thus far, showing dozens of Iraqi insurgents reading
the prescription drug plan and scratching their heads.
The Defense Secretary said he was hopeful that Operation
Incomprehensible Program would leave the Iraqi insurgents totally
baffled, but he hinted that the Pentagon had other tactics up its
sleeve: “We are fully prepared to bombard them with copies of my press
briefings.”

PHARMA: Still decent growth on a pretty big number

Pharma companies (or their investors) may be all depressed wishing that the good old days of fat pipelines and long patent protection windows were still here. But now and again it’s worth considering how big Big Pharma actually is. And, as  IMS health reports, it’s big. And it’s not just here in the US anymore (although this remains the biggest and most profitable market).

IMS Health (NYSE: RX), the world’s leading provider of market intelligence to the pharmaceutical and healthcare industries, today announced that 2005 total global pharmaceutical sales grew 7 percent at constant exchange rates, to $602 billion. In the ten major markets, audited growth was 5.7 percent in 2005, compared with 7.2 percent the previous year.

SNIP

In 2005, North America, which accounts for 47 percent of global pharmaceutical sales, grew 5.2 percent, to $265.7 billion, while Europe experienced somewhat higher growth of 7.1 percent, to $169.5 billion. Sales in Latin America grew an exceptional 18.5 percent to $24 billion, while Asia Pacific (outside of Japan) and Africa grew 11 percent to $46.4 billion. Japan, the world’s second largest market, which has historically posted slower growth rates, performed strongly in 2005, growing 6.8 percent to $60.3 billion, its highest year-over-year growth since 1991.

So consider that worldwide pharma spending now slightly exceeds the biggest chunk of US health spending (hospital care @ $588 billion).

PHARMA: Brandweek on Pfizer, Pharmacia, HGH and Rost

It’s all going down on Brandweek’s site — a much longer look at what THCB touched on a few weeks back. You’ll have to login to get the full story, though. (The link is now direct). Suffice it to say that Rost will be getting his hearing soon as he’s now filed suit in court. Meanwhile (having read Rost’s side of the story) if you want to follow The Veteran’s advice and get yourself a career as a whistleblower, better make sure that you get a remote email account and don’t use your work computer or work phone.

BLOGS: Grand Rounds is up; HRW submissions info here too

Grand Rounds is up (although I forgot to submit) at HealthyConcerns but it’s plenty long enough!

Meanwhile, Kate Steadman at Healthy Policy is hosting Health Wonk Review on Thursday  Get your submissions into her NOW.  Here’s how:

Please have your submission to me by 9 am EST on Wednesday, March 22nd. 

Please put "Health Wonk Review" or "HWR" in the title of your email

My email address is ksteadman at gmail dot com

Note that in future there’ll be a database that allows you to almost auto-format your own entries which will cut down on the hosts work. We’ll be announcing that soon (probably for the next HRW). Thanks to Shahid Shah for figuring it out, as ever.

POLICY/INDUSTRY: Posting prices is all we need–yeah, right. Paul Ginsburg on transparency

Paul Ginsburg from HSC doesn’t quite have Uwe’s ability to damn but stay "just this side ofthe line". On the other hand he has a solid base in very sensible research. When they start talking about price transparency someone in Congress had the good sense to drag him in. This was Ginsburg’s testimony about Consumer Price Shopping in Health Care. I’ve abridged it and commented a little:

Unfortunately, much of the recent policy discussion about price
transparency downplays the complexity of decisions about medical care
and the dependence of consumers on physicians for guidance about what
services are appropriate. It also ignores the role of managed care
plans as agents for consumers and purchasers in shopping for lower
prices. Well-intentioned but ill-conceived policies to force extensive
disclosure of contracts between managed care plans and providers may
backfire by leading to higher prices.

snip

ut we need to be realistic about the magnitudes of potential gains from
more effective shopping by consumers. For one thing, a large portion of
medical care may be beyond the reach of patient financial incentives.
Most patients who are hospitalized will not be subject to the financial
incentives of either a consumer-driven health plan or a more
traditional plan with extensive patient cost sharing. They will have
exceeded their annual deductible and often the maximum on out-of-pocket
spending. Recall that in any year, 10 percent of people account for 70
percent of health spending, and most of them will not be subject to
financial incentives to economize.

snip

In addition to those with the largest expenses not being subject to
financial incentives, much care does not lend itself to effective
shopping. Many patients’ health care needs are too urgent to price
shop. Some illnesses are so complex that significant diagnostic
resources are needed before determining treatment alternatives. By this
time, the patient is unlikely to consider shopping for a different
provider.

snip

So there is a solution — THCB readers who know that I’m an Enthoven disciple will not be too surprised as to what it is.

Some of these constraints could be addressed by consumers’ committing
themselves, either formally or informally, to providers. Many consumers
have chosen a primary care physician as their initial point of contact
for medical problems that may arise. Patients served by a
multi-specialty group practice informally commit themselves to this
group of specialists-and the hospitals that they practice in-as well.
So shopping has been done in advance and can be applied to new medical
problems that require urgent care. This is a key concept behind the
high-performance networks that are being developed by some large
insurers.

snip

Even when services are good candidates for shopping by consumers,
comparison of prices is not easy. Much treatment is customized. For
example, an elective rhinoplasty, more commonly known as a nose
reconstruction, is not a commodity, and a plastic surgeon cannot
provide an estimate without examining the patient. Often a medical
treatment involves an uncertain number of services by a number of
separate providers, but few bundled prices are available in the
marketplace today. As mentioned above, limitations in useful
comparative quality data make patients reluctant to choose a provider
based on lower price.

Snip

But the Cato guys tell us that LASIK surgery is cheap and got cheaper because of consumer facing price competition. So what about those self-pay markets that we’ve herd so much about? Turns out that’s not quite so clean either.

LASIK has the greatest potential for effective price shopping because
it is elective, non-urgent, and consumers can get somewhat useful price
information over the telephone. Prices have indeed fallen over time.
But consumer protection problems have tarnished this market, with both
the Federal Trade Commission and some state attorneys general
intervening to curb deceptive advertising and poorly communicated
bundling practices. Many of us have seen LASIK advertisements for
prices of $299 per eye, but in fact only a tiny proportion of consumers
seeking the LASIK procedure meet the clinical qualifications for those
prices. Indeed, only 3 percent of LASIK procedures cost less than
$1,000 per eye, and the average price is about $2,000. I can only
wonder about the extent to which policy advocates have themselves been
deceived by these advertisements and inadvertently perceived a sharper
decline in prices than has been the case.

For the other procedures that we studied, we found little evidence
of consumer price shopping. For dental crowns and IVF services, many
consumers are unwilling to shop because they perceive an urgent need
for the procedure, and other consumers are discouraged from shopping by
the time and expense of visiting multiple providers to get estimates.
In cosmetic surgery, a limited amount of shopping does occur,
facilitated by free screening exams offered by some surgeons. However,
quality rather than price is the key concern to most consumers in this
market; in the absence of reliable quality information, most consumers
rely on word-of-mouth recommendation as a proxy for quality, instead of
shopping on price.

snip

So it turns out you need a sponsor

Much of the policy discussion about price transparency has neglected
the important role that insurers play as agents for consumers and
purchasers of health insurance in obtaining favorable prices from
providers. Even though managed care plans have lost some clout in
negotiating with providers in recent years, they still obtain sharply
discounted prices from contracted providers. Indeed, in my experience
as a consumer, I often find that the discounts obtained for the PPO
network for routine physician, laboratory and imaging services are
worth more to me than the payments by the insurer.

Insurers are in a strong position to further support their enrollees
who have significant financial incentives, especially those in
consumer-driven products. Insurers have the ability to analyze complex
data and present it to consumers as simple choices. For example, they
can analyze data on costs and quality of care in a specialty and then
offer their enrollees an incentive to choose providers in the
high-performance network. Insurers also have the potential to innovate
in benefit design to further support effective shopping by consumers,
such as increasing cost sharing for services that are more
discretionary and reducing cost sharing for services that research
shows are highly effective.

Snip

Conclusion:  The need for consumers to compare prices of providers and treatment alternatives
  is increasing and has the potential to improve the value equation in health
  care. But we need to be realistic about the magnitude of the potential for improvement from making consumers more effective shoppers for health care. Whatever the  gains from increased shopping activity, rising health care costs will, nevertheless, price more consumers out of the market for health insurance and burden governments 
struggling to pay for health care from a revenue base that is not growing as
  fast as their financing commitment. For those who have health insurance, their health plan will be a key agent in facilitating their obtaining better value. Government needs to take care not to interfere with this relationship and should
  focus instead on the needs of those without insurance

And what he doesn’t say but we all know is that if you regulate the way the plans behave effectively (and heaven knows there’s enough written about this that I don’t have to tell you how) they’ll start competing amongst consumers about the right things…

HOPSITALS: Is there a built in profit in DRGs?

I got this random question and I didn’t know the answer, so I’m doing an “ask the audience” hoping that some geek smart on Medicare is reading.

Is there a pre-defined profit margin built into DRG payments when they are set? Obviously some DRGs are profitable and other less so, but does CMS set a defined rate for “profit” or “margin” within DRGs?

Please put your thoughts in the comments.

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