Humphrey Taylor is Chairman of The Harris Poll. Prior to joining Harris, Taylor worked in Britain where he conducted all of the private political polling for the Conservative Party and was a close adviser to Prime Minister Edward Heath in the 1970 campaign and subsequently to Margaret Thatcher.
What do people really think about health care reform? When political issues are difficult and complicated, published polls sometimes confuse rather than enlighten the debate. And health care reform is fiendishly complicated, with many different issues and many different proposals for addressing them. No wonder that the debate is generating more heat than light. This is surely one of the times when political leaders should lead rather than follow public opinion. As Winston Churchill once said, “The problem with politicians who keep their ear too close to the ground is that it is difficult to look up to them in that ungainly posture.”
While policy makers have to address the details of the proposed policies, most people do not. They know what they want, or don’t want, but have only a very limited understanding of which policies will actually achieve their aims. They are often strongly influenced by political rhetoric that varies from the accurate to the simplistic to the completely false. Many different words and phrases are used to describe different policies. It is unreasonable to expect the public to understand the details of the proposed reforms or how they work in practice.
However, if you study all the polls, as opposed to cherry picking them as many politicians do, a clear picture of public opinion emerges:Continue reading…