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Key Takeaways From the Price Confirmation Hearing

As DC readies for the Inaugural fest, the four-hour confirmation hearing for President-elect Trump’s nominee for HHS Secretary, Tom Price, an orthopedic surgeon and six term House of Representatives’ member from the Atlanta suburbs, was the focus yesterday. For healthcare industry watchers, the contentious hearing surfaced several themes likely to mark the new administration’s approach to its health policies.

Key takeaways from yesterday:

Party posturing: The orchestration of each party’s messaging was evident and in stark contrast. Democrats on the Senate’s Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (HELP) committee sought to discredit the nominee as a tee-party ideolog whose views are out of touch with mainstream views about the health system. Republicans sought to reinforce “Dr. Price” pedigree as a clinician whose clinical and political experience equipped him well to lead the massive HHS machinery. Going in, the Democratic spin machine sought to paint Price’ as a corrupt politician who’d made $300,000 worth of stock trades in drug and device companies while legislating in their favor. The Republican PR machine sought to mute their attacks, noting the candidate’s trades had been cleared by the Office of Government Ethics.

Repeal and Replace: Democrats probed for specifics of the replacement for the Affordable Care Act, with particular attention to Price’ solution for the 20,000,000 newly insured thru the exchanges and Medicaid expansion. The candidate’s “Empowering Patients First” plan, introduced in 2015, served as the focus for his antagonists: it proposes the use of tax credits of $900-$3000 to permit individuals to buy private coverage, state-administered risk pools for those uninsurable, premium support for Medicare, health savings accounts with a one-time $1000 incentive and easing of restriction on insurers to allow them to sell cheaper policies. On the GOP side, the ACA was called a “disaster” due to insurance premium hikes and growing frustration of physicians. The nominee repeated “access to affordable coverage” and “giving patients more choices of plans and physicians” as his guiding principles while avoiding specifics about how President-elect Trump’s campaign promises to insure everyone and avoid Medicare cuts would be realized.

Insurance market reforms: Price stated that universal access to affordable insurance coverage is the aim and regulatory relief for insurers in the individual and small group insurance markets as keys. Dem’s probed the distinction between access and actual coverage, noting that last week’s Congressional Budget Office’ report estimated a spike in the numbers who will go without coverage in coming years if “replace” doesn’t achieve current levels of coverage. Frequently, Price criticized the ACA for limiting access to physicians by allowing insurers to use narrow networks to premium costs. He noted that one third of physicians refuse Medicaid coverage and one-eighth refuse Medicare coverage due to reimbursement rates and administrative complexities involved in participation, suggesting these were the direct result of the ACA.

Drug prices: The costs of drugs, and their well-publicized price hikes, drew barbs from Dems who noted the nominee’s plan was mute on drug prices. They asked specifically for Price to go on-record about allowing Medicare to contract directly with drug manufacturers instead of through private insurers and PBMs. The nominee said he viewed market forces as a solution, suggesting (inaccurately) that generics reflected the market’s constraint on drug prices.

Meaningful use: Only one committee member referenced HIT and meaningful use, Sen. Tim Cassidy (R-LA) a gastroenterologist who assailed the hassle and unnecessary costs associated with electronic health records. The nominee agreed, while conceding that “interoperability is the goal..and it’s good for patients”.

Medicaid: Questioning by Democratic panelists sought to discern the nominee’s views about its expansion and funding. Price offered innovation in the way Indiana’s plan was structured as a promising start whereby states could be granted more flexibility, and the long-term forecast for Medicaid expansion and funding was not addressed.

Value-based payment programs: Value-based programs were referenced three times in passing reference. Sen. Baldwin (D-WI) acknowledged the prevalence of ACOs as an innovation she hoped would continue, and two GOP panelists, both clinicians (Paul and Cassidy), questioned the value of demonstrations sponsored by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI). Price offered that innovation in the health system is needed and CMMI’s mandates were counterproductive. He noted that bundled payments per se were promising, but dictates from Medicare to physicians about the prostheses they could use discounted their value. (CMS does not dictate the prostheses).

Rural health: GOP committee members Murkowski (AK) and Enzi (WY) inquired about the nominee’s views about protection for rural hospitals, prevalent in their states. The nominee expressed understanding pledging that federal regulatory constraints could be eased to facilitate their survival.

And along the way, the panelists on each side opined on their favorite targets: Dems assailed the drug companies, lack of GOP attention to climate change as a health factor, and inconsistencies between the Trump, Ryan and Price plans. Republicans attacked the credibility of the CBO’s recent forecasts predicting costs would increase post-replace adding to the deficit, the need for medical malpractice as part of the replacement and the need for less regulation.

My take:

The confirmation hearing was a media event: it’s unlikely votes on either side changed and virtually certain that Congressman Price will be the next HHS Secretary due to the GOP’s majority on the committee (11-10) and control in the Senate (52-48). Notwithstanding several assertions requiring fact-checking, Dr. Price was poised and remained on message: ‘give patients more choices, let physicians practice without constraint, let markets work, and manage spending aggressively’.

The winners in the Price scheme for ACA replacement are the insurers who’ll see more flexibility in their plan designs, and physicians who’ll have an active supporter in the top job. Those likely to be challenged are hospitals, where commentary was scant in the hearing, states, who’ll shoulder more of the responsibility for the new normal, and individuals newly insured through the ACA who are anxious.

More to come. Stay tuned.

 

Not Normal Chaos

The short version of Vox’s Sarah Skiff on “Why Republican disarray on health care doesn’t doom repeal efforts” would read something like: “It always looks this way in the throes of preparing major legislation. Remember how wild and confusing it was when the Democrats were trying to put together healthcare reform in 2009? Joe Lieberman was insisting on a public option, ‘pro-life’ Democrats were insisting that anti-abortion language be written in? Just because it’s chaotic doesn’t mean it won’t get anywhere.”

She’s right, of course — and she’s wrong in a significant way: In 2009 Congress was debating different policy approaches and the tradeoffs involved. There was never a question whether what they were attempting was possible, just whether it was possible to find a political compromise that could garner enough votes to pass. This meant that it was reasonably predictable that they would come up with something they could call “healthcare reform.” 

Congressional Republicans are up a different creek right now: What they are attempting is mathematically impossible. The things they and President Trump have promised do not add up. Literally. Their problem is arithmetic. Getting more people covered, with better coverage, with lower deductibles and out-of-pocket costs — all that will cost more money, lots of it. Getting rid of the tax penalties for not having insurance (the “individual mandate” that is the most-hated part of Obamacare) and the taxes built into Obamacare on wealthy people and on segments of the healthcare industry — all these will cost the government revenue, the very revenue it would need to pay for the better coverage of more people. All this while they aim to cut taxes and lower the deficit. And of course they have on every Holy Book within reach that they will repeal Obamacare, so they can’t just leave it in place. This means it is highly unpredictable what they will come up with, or that they will come up with anything at all.

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The Tragedy of Obamacare

The Senate has taken its first step to repeal Obamacare.  By a final party line vote of 51-48 the Senate approved a budget resolution setting the stage for rolling back much of the Affordable Care Act.

Consternation reigns among Democrats who have closed ranks and promise catastrophe.

Bernie Sanders, the top democrat to lead the resistance said “I think it’s important for this country to know this was not a usual thing, this is a day which lays the groundwork for 30 million people to be thrown off their health insurance… And if that happens, many of these people will die.”

And so it is that a complex problem comes to be painted in black and white.   To oppose Obamacare is to be for a medical holocaust.  Genghis Khan reincarnated would be unable to wreak a devastation as complete as repeal of Obamacare.

The insidious fact is that this simple phraseology is used as a cudgel by those who well know that the tentacles of a program as complex as Obamacare defies such a simple duality.  Understanding the effect of Obamacare is to understand how politicians flapping their wings in Washington DC creates a hurricane in California.

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Pig in a Poke Health Reform

Uwe ReinhardtFrom a political perspective, House Speaker Paul Ryan’s trashing of ObamaCare (a.k.a. the Affordable Care Act or ACC) during CNN’s recent town hall meeting probably was quite effective. One would, of course, not expect a staunch political opponent of ObamaCare to render a “fair and balanced” picture of the program, to plagiarize a Fox News mantra. Not surprisingly, the Speaker dwelt solely on some serious shortcomings of ObamaCare that are by now well known among the cognoscenti.

The question now is precisely what would replace ObamaCare, as Republicans fall over one another in their haste to repeal it. Enumerating principles, as has been done in sundry tracts in recent years and is done once again in the House of Representatives’  “A Better Way”, is no longer enough. Yet even at this time of imminent repeal of ObamaCare, the crucial details of any replacement plan remain a mystery. Surely the time has come to let the cat out of the bag.

During the town hall meeting, for example, Speaker Ryan proposed the general outline of a system that would rely on high risk pools for Americans with pre-existing medical conditions, coupled with a market for individually purchased insurance policies whose modus operandi was largely unspecified. What would be the parameters of the high risk pools? Granted, it would have been difficult to be much more specific on this point than the Speaker was in a town hall meeting. But it would certainly have been helpful had there been a website to which he could have directed his audience for the specifics of a replacement plan built on a Republican consensus.  To my knowledge, there is no such website.

Risk pools have long been the workhorse of Republican rhetoric on health reform. One can think of such a pool as just another health insurance company selling insurance in the individual market for such policies to relatively sick applicants for insurance. To assess the merits of the coverage it sells, one surely would want to know: 

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Esther Dyson & Rick Brush Interview at Health 2.0

Five communities. Ten years. One objective: to create business models that make better health attainable – and sustainable – for all. Esther Dyson and Rick Brush joined me at Health 2.0’s Fall Conference to talk about the exciting launch of their innovative population health initiative, The Way to Wellville.

The Arc of Justice in Healthcare

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We all fear that phone call.  A medical report turns out the wrong way and life may never be the same.  When that call arrives we all have the same needs:  A doctor who cares, a place to go for treatment and the finances to afford what’s needed.  Starting on January 20th, some of my patients will join the 20 million whose lifeline to those fundamental needs becomes jeopardized.  

One of my patients facing this threat lost his job and health insurance during the 2008 recession.   Because he’s a diabetic and has a special needs son, no insurance company would sell his family a policy.   Why would they?   Diabetics and others with serious illnesses pose high risks for future health expenses.  Insurance companies make money by avoiding such risk.   After exhausting all the options, he sweated out 18 months with no coverage.   Finally, the roll-out of the California Exchange, funded by the Affordable Care Act (ACA), allowed him to buy an Anthem Blue Cross policy for his family.  

Do we really want millions of our fellow Americans to relive those nightmares?  We all benefit from the ACA’s fundamental commitment: That everyone deserves access to healthcare regardless of their ability to pay.  The policies guided by this principle moved us toward the achievement of universal coverage without changing the existing care of the majority of working families with employer based plans nor those with self-funded coverage.   

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Why Consumers
Are the New Patients

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Meet Edith Stowe.

An 83-year-old resident of the District of Columbia, Ms. Stowe has made a routine out of her two to three monthly trips to MedStar Health, a Maryland-based nonprofit health system.

After all, her life literally depends on it. Ms. Stowe has chronic kidney failure, so her 5-mile trips to the hospital aren’t a luxury. She absolutely needs them.

Stowe doesn’t own a car, and taking the bus to get life-critical care isn’t always reliable–or even desirable for an aged patient with a chronic disease.

That’s how Uber enters the frame.

Beginning earlier this year, MedStar has integrated the ride-hailing giant into its platform, allowing patients to easily schedule rides to and from critical appointments. MedStar’s patient advocates will arrange rides for Medicaid patients who don’t have access to its website or app-capable smartphones.Continue reading…

The Unlovable Political Logic of Health Reform

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Every so often, voters conspire to hand unambiguous control over the federal government to a single political party.  It is rarely the unmixed blessing that party strategists dream it to be.  President  Clinton got a Democratic Congress, and promptly lost it two years later in the wake of the famously unproductive HillaryCare debate.   President George W Bush invaded Iraq.  Lyndon Johnson waged War on Poverty and sent a half-million baby boomers to Vietnam. 

More recently, President Obama had a (brief) filibuster proof Senate majority and an eighty vote House majority entering 2009.  Despite this huge advantage, the passage of ObamaCare turned into a costly, fifteen-month political cliffhanger. A lot of Obama’s problem wasn’t merely an increasingly angry Republican minority but a substantial (and imperiled) moderate wing of his own party

What can the resurgent Republicans learn from these cautionary tales as they enter Donald Trump’s Presidency?   What they will come to realize is that often, “friendly fire” is as perilous a risk as anything the other party throws at you.  The Republicans are actually in a much less strong position than they appear as they enter 2017.     

Today’s Republican Party is actually riven into at least four distinct factions, each of which has its own health policy agenda and hot buttons.  Arrayed from Far Right to Center Right, these factions are:

  1. The Hamburger Hill Republicans.  (See Wikipedia definition.) Exemplars include the House Freedom Caucus, who won office in the Tea Party rebellion, and would be perfectly comfortable repealing ObamaCare without replacing it, and letting states, particularly of the blue variety, sort out the carnage. A lot of them are “safe seat” Red State Republicans who can afford to take some electoral risks in the name of party principle.
  2. The Take Your Castor Oil Republicans.  Exemplars include most prominently Speaker Paul Ryan, and also HHS Sec. Designate Dr. Tom Price, who believe that entitlement reform is actually a bigger deal, fiscally and politically, than repealing ObamaCare, and who favor cutting entitlement spending, “pro-competitive solutions” (whatever that means in a highly concentrated health industry), and also compelling “wealthy” Americans to pay a bigger share of their healthcare bill.
  3. The Pragmatic Republicans.  Exemplars include:  Lamar Alexander, Orrin Hatch and Kevin Brady, all burdened with the realism borne of Chairmanships of major Committees, all of whom would prefer to strap on a parachute before exiting the airplane on Repealing and Replacing ObamaCare and who are also cognizant of the cost of ownership of the healthcare issue.
  4. Ten Republican Governors Who Expanded Medicaid.  Exemplars include:  Governors Snyder, Kasich, Brewer, Sandoval, Martinez, Baker, etc. whose states could be on the hook for billions in additional state costs if ObamaCare’s ten million person Medicaid expansion is scaled back.  Each of these Governors has Two Senators to advocate on their states’ behalf.   Vice President to be Pence also expanded Medicaid while Governor of Indiana. 

Interestingly, the new Republican standard bearer, Donald Trump (who was until 2012 registered for thirteen years in New York’s independent but left-leaning Reform party), ran to the left of his Congressional base on healthcare issues.  While he advocated “repeal and replacement ” of ObamaCare with “something terrific” (aka “TerrifiCare”), he also advocated “covering everybody” and “not cutting Social Security or Medicare”. Continue reading…

A Bird’s Eye View from the Penalty Box

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) EHR Incentive Program—also known as Meaningful Use (MU)—initially provided incentives to accelerate the adoption of electronic health records (EHRs) to meet certified program  requirements.  Many physicians were mandated to change over to electronic records at the cost of tens of thousands of dollars.  Electronic records have never been shown to improve patient care or outcomes with statistical significance, the criteria physicians routinely use when making care decisions.

Physicians who failed to participate in MU would receive penalties in the form of reduced Medicare reimbursements automatically. To avoid a penalty, physicians had to implement certified electronic health records (CEHRT) and demonstrate MU of that technology through an attestation process at the end of each reporting period.  There were 10 data specifications. Approximately 209,000 physicians were facing penalties at the start of 2016, almost one-fourth of the U.S. physician workforce.Continue reading…

Should Cleveland Clinic’s Anti-Vax Physician Lose His Medical License?

Years ago, when I was less inflexible, I took up Pilates. My instructor, Jim, a charming chap with an infectious laughter, was a 911 truther. I’d egg him on to hear about his conspiracy theories. Jim believed that 911 was concocted by Bush and Haliburton so that the U.S. could invade Iraq to capture their oil. He thought that United Flight 93 never took off. Whatever happened after 911 became the motivation for 911. He was the sort of person who would have concluded that Mahatma Gandhi plotted the Second World War to free India from British rule.

I began to suspect that Jim was, to put it charitably, nice but dim. But he wasn’t that dim. He corrected me when I once, innocently, underpaid him. He was also smart at advertising and when he met my wife, he told her that she should join me for Pilates because it would strengthen our marital bond. My wife politely declined the bond strengthening. He was also very cued up with the nutritional sciences and warned me, without leaving a trace of irony, “don’t believe everything you read about diets.”

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