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PHARMA: West Virginia joins the fray

Just in case you out there haven’t been keeping up with the big city papers, the Sunday Gazette-Mail from Charleston, West Virginia reports that West Virginia is the latest state to try to institute Canadian price levels in what it pays for drugs, presumably for Medicaid and state employees. How’s it going to do that? It’s going to

    establish a "pricing schedule," a list of drugs and what they should cost. It would be based on either the Federal Supply Schedule (which is estimated to be 40 percent less expensive than retail prices), what the Canadian government pays, or another price reference "that will maximize savings to the broadest percentage of the population of this state."

This is more or less the same thing that several other states have done by setting up links to Canadian pharmacies, but the first one that I recall that’s explicitly trying to piggyback of the discounts that the Feds get when they buy for the VA system. And I believe that this is the first one in a "Red" state.

EDITORIAL: Ignoring science

It may come as no surprise to my readers to know that I’m not a fan of the current Administration, but it should equally come as no surprise to them that I don’t view THCB as a venue for those discussions. This blog is designed to focus on explaining the likely developments of the health care market, which of necessity brings with it a view on the likelihood of policy developments. But, for example, unlike most bloggers I never came to a formal position here on the PDIMA bill, even if I remain very dubious about the potential success of many of its aspects.

However, sometimes all reasonable people must make a statement when they see clear malfeasance, and in the last few days two incidents have forced me over that line. The first incident is the revelation that the head actuary of CMS was told to withhold cost information from Congress on the direct orders of CMS head Tom Scully. Scully of course left CMS straight after PDIMA’s passage to a well paid job as a lobby flack lawyer. He was also the representative of the for-proft hospitals in Washington in the 1990s — a decade in which his clients like Columbia and Tenet looted the Medicare system. Essentially scientific evidence (or whatever passes for it from actuaries) was deliberately withheld from Congress, and the difference in this case was enough to allow passage of legislation.

It would be nice to dismiss this as an occasional lapse, but similar disregard of science and rationalism was revealed by an original member of the President’s panel on bio-ethics, who was fired last week. Elizabeth’s Blackburn NEJM article on her firing from the commission shows that the level of political manipulation of science and objective reasoning in this administration is as bad as the Krugman’s and Moore’s say it is. She notes that of the three replacements for people who were fired from the commission:

    “Not one of the newly appointed members is a biomedical scientist. One, a pediatric neurosurgeon, has championed religious values in public life; another, a political philosopher, has publicly praised Kass’ work (Kass is the commision’s chair who rejects science that “feels wrong to him”) ; the third, a political scientist, has described as “evil” any research in which embryos are destroyed.”

This commission, which makes reccomendations which are crucial for the future of scientific research, has been newly hand-picked purely to shore up the President’s fundamentalist base. And if we are going to continue scientific progress in the tradition of the enlightenment, that is not acceptable no matter what your political philosophy.

PHARMA: 60 Minutes helps put the boot into Pharma

While I can write a balanced article looking at the issue of drug profits home and abroad, and Derek Lowe can conduct a debate with his readers about it, we’d both probably admit that rather more people watch 60 Minutes than read our blogs. So today’s 60 Minutes on re-importation may have slightly more influence than Derek’s views or mine. I’m now pretty convinced that the Republicans are going to cave on the drug re-importation issue. With every senior in America watching, 60 Minutes showed an extremely pained Mark McClellan trying defend the indefensible–he was forced to say that the FDA is not allowed to check out if Canadian exporters are safe–"Under current law, we don’t have the authority to insure the safety of foreign produced, foreign distributed drugs." (I bet he’s damn happy he’s moving on to CMS and doesn’t have to sit through that interview again). They then showed that Lipitor is made in Ireland and that the same pill made there sells for twice as much here as it does in Canada. They showed that the taxpayers of Springfield, Mass will be $9 million better off because the city is buying its drugs in Canada, and that translates into more firefighters and cops on the beat. They even found a conservative Republican (Dan Burton) to attack both PDIMA and the pharma industry, and managed to say that no major drug company would come on the TV to defend their position. All in all, not the pharma industry’s finest 15 minutes ever of PR.

In a weird associated connection, there was also a commercial from AARP which seemed to first focus on the real "drug war" and then talked of AARP fighting the "other drug war, one we can win" demanding legalization not of marijuana but of Rx imports from Canada and for the ability of the government to negotiate drug prices. AARP’s blessing of course is what pushed PDIMA over the edge and won it through the house, so it looks like they’ve changed their PR position. Meanwhile, conservative Republican Dan Burton was featured prominently opposing PDIMA. He’s a long time drug-war warrior in that other drug war, but as he gets older he seems to be showing the odd bit of sense.

PHARMA/PHYSICIANS: More on oncology drugs

And if you want to read more about the oncology story featured in Matt Quinn’s TCHB article yesterday, here’s an article from Doug Bandow, one of the "sensible libertarians" over at Cato (as opposed to the loony libertarians at take your pick of the Mellon-Scaife funded institutes….) in which he basically applauds Congress for eventually taking action on the taxpayers’ behalf here, and calls for more, and more logical, government intervention in the oncology market.

Hat tip to LM for the link.

PHARMA: PBM plays tough with A-Z’s Crestor

Oops…for some reason this didn’t "publish" late last night…..

In a report out of The Delaware News Journal comes interesting news about the statin wars. The ACC meeting this week has lead to the release of a host of studies concluding that "stronger is better" in terms of the health effects of statins. Although bloggers Sydney Smith at Medpundit and Robert Centor at Medrants disagree on the exact significance of the PROVE-IT study, all concerned seem to believe that stronger is more or less better. Crestor from A-Z is usually believed to be the strongest statin, yet the folks at Medco, the nations biggest PBM have followed the lead of Wellpoint, one of the biggest health plans (and the most influential in terms of Rx trends) by leaving Crestor off its formulary listing. AdvancePCS, which is about to be the other big PBM gorilla after its pending merger to Caremark is complete, has put Crestor high up on its formulary.

So in the real world, will the dogs eat the dog food if they have to pay more for it? Astra-Zeneca is about to find out. Despite the carnage in the market lately, their stock is still doing fine. But the news from three-tier formulary land is not good, as an off-formulary position usually means that people won’t pay the extra for the non-preferred branded Rx.

PHARMA/PHYSICIANS: The Continuing Saga of Injectable Drugs, from Matt Quinn, with UPDATE

From THCB Sacramento bureau, Matt Quinn continues his comments on the injectable oncology market by discussing an article in Physician Compensation Report titled Oncology Income May Drop 40% by 2005. (The article is in italics, Matt’s comments are in normal text).

    "Clinical oncologists in practices that infuse chemotherapy drugs say that changes made in their 2004 reimbursement schedule by the Medicare reform law will result in income losses ranging from 2%-3% up to 15%, depending on each practice’s payer mix and current prices for purchasing the drugs. For 2005, practice managers predict physician income losses of another 25% if Congress does not repeal the new law’s reimbursement cuts for next year."

This seems significant until you get to:

    "Median physician compensation and benefit expense was $446,000 in 2002, the survey says."

So, my interpretation of this is that "the powers that be" are giving oncology practices 2004 to shift from a drug-based business to a service-based business (like 99% of other practices) at relative cost neutrality (using the bad assumption that per physician salary hasn’t grown since 2002, they are estimated to make between $379K and $437K in 2004). I don’t disagree that practices / physicians that cling to the drug-based reimbursement model in 2005 will stand to lose up to a quarter of their revenue (making them paupers who only make ~$285K to $328K per year). That’s the point. The government feels that oncologists are padding their salaries (at huge expense to the taxpayer) with excess drug utilization. Either take the carrot or get the stick. It will be interesting to see how utilization patterns change when (if) financial incentives change. This is hardly a situation that will leave cancer patients dying in the streets/driving hundreds of miles for lack of a community cancer center. Although it might leave a few oncologists short some of the income to which they have grown accustomed.

    "Holcombe notes that ASPs do not reflect the markup that drug distributors charge to practices, or the drug inventory financing and handling costs that practices have."

This (which is the rationalization why the ASP for a drug must be greater than the cost of the drug), of course, contradicts the huge margins that oncologists make on administering drugs. There is a "cost of money" for maintaining the drugs necessary for running a practice, although healthy cash flows, favorable payment terms from distributors (60 to 90 days is standard), low interest rates, and mileage programs make this seem pretty darn negligible. There are shipping fees (very low, especially for planned purchases), and there is a cost associated with setting up and maintaining an oncology practice (must buy a chemo mixing hood, have ventilation, must have oncology specialist nurses), but these are not (obviously) anywhere near current (or projected) overall profit levels.

    "The medical lobby opponents of the reimbursement changes are working to interest Congress in a change of direction."

They have scuttled this sort of legislation many times before. A membership that makes $450K per head has some influence, to say nothing of Big Pharma.

UPDATE: The NY Times reports that the situation is extra grim for some cancer patients in Marin County because the oncologists are laying off their massage therapists!

HOSPITALS: When you’re wrong you’re wrong–Tenet shares fall

As careful reader will have noted, a while back I had a punt on the guess that despite the difficulty in valuing the company Tenet shares have reached their bottom for the year. Well it appears that I was wrong. Yesterday after looking carefully at a deal for refinancing that was actually announced early the day before, the marketsmacked Tenet shares down $2 to close at $10. I’ve been lucky with some other health care gambles recently, and this time the market is teaching me humility.

Tenet has been postulated to have a break up value of around $9 a share. The unknown is how big a fine it will be hit with for the goings on at Redding Medical Center. However, the latest data seems to indicate that they’re burning through their cash a little quickly. I suspect that this is finally the bottom, although it may be that the increase in Medicare payments in the PDIMA act will be too little too late to help Tenet.

QUALITY/PHYSICIANS: I disappoint the Industry Veteran, with UPDATE

My corrrespondent the Industry Veteran was upset to see me teetering on the doctors’ side, while trying vainly to take the middle road, in the malpractice debate that I highlighted here last week. Meanwhile the same issue (the web site that identifies plaintiffs for doctors) has been busying a slew of doctors and a few of their detractors over at MedRants. The Veteran writes to point out the error of my ways!:

    I was sorry to see your statement that you "take the doctors’ side" in their battle against the malpractice lawyers. Among those who deserve blame for the shortcomings and inequities in this country’s two-tier healthcare system, organized medicine is at least as blameworthy as hospitals, Big Pharma and insurance companies. Although you back away from this ill-considered partisanship in subsequent sentences, your initial sentiment reveals a reflexive simpatico that you should try to eradicate.In the first place, efforts to assign principal blame for the healthcare system’s problems remind me of the old Chicago scholasticism that sought to place responsibility for the city’s corruption on either the politicians, the police, the gangsters or big business. All the participants have historically sought to dip their beaks in the public’s blood and, in the case of healthcare, the providers have enacted the Tony Soprano role to an extent equalling that of manufacturers and payers. Paul Starr’s Social Transformation of American Medicine and other monographs have described the tactics that organized medicine used to elevate medical practice from a middling, lower-middle class occupation at the start of the 20th century (when the requirement for admission to Harvard’s medical school consisted of the ability to read and write) into the significant holder of gross domestic product that it is today. "In the physicians’ view," according to Starr, "the competitive market represented a threat not only to their incomes, but also to their status and autonomy…and threatened to turn them into mere employees."While increasing a profession’s exposure to tort liability is rarely the sole means of reforming public policy, I believe that in this case malpractice actions do help to advance the process. Dragging physicians into the dock furthers the demystification and dissipates the profession’s unchallenged self-judgment, both of which permit physicians to insert economic bottlenecks into healthcare while making the provider sector a two-caste system. Other positive functions of malpractice activity include making medicine less attractive to the spoiled princes (and, increasingly, princesses) of American society. Certainly I agree with your contention that the necessary process of knocking physicians from their pedestal can be abetted by the increased use of physician extenders (I prefer the term used by labor historians: "de-skilling") and the enforcement of evidence-based logarithms to constrain self-indulgent, self-dealing, cost escalating "autonomy." Despite the nervous handwringing from some of your fellow bloggers, I also want to advance the feminization (more accurately, the "mom-ification") of medicine to deter avaricious ambition from the profession (keep the Jeff Skillings and the Billy Tauzins in business and policitics where they belong) while making it more hospitable to the needs of 9-5, live-and-let-live employees.I think we can proceed through a long, tedious dialogue on this issue, and we’d probably conclude with more agreement than disagreement. I don’t wish to engage in such a colloquoy, and would instead urge a way for you to expunge your reflexive sympathy for physicians. Instead of maintaining the preconscious image of a workaday British physician such as your father, think instead of the two-dollar whores who demand that the pharmaceutical companies entice them to breach fiduciary responsibilities to patients.

UPDATE: (late Weds) The Veteran‘s anti-physician line may be a little extreme for me, but nothing to the extent to which it’s upset the medblogshpere’s favorite surgeon. Go see Bard Parker‘s reply at A Chance to Cut…

HEALTH PLANS: Look who’s getting into the business

You know that health plan margins are too high when you see who the latest entrant into the business is. Yup, Walmart, the 800lb gorilla of brutal discounting is now offering health insurance for small businesses via it’s Sam’s Club. Those providers who’ve been complaining about harsh discounting from aggressive managed care firms haven’t seen anything yet! I can just see America’s hospital and physician and pharma execs waiting for their turn in the "seven-by-ten-foot blue roomlet–one fluorescent light, one table, one photo of Mr. Sam. So, says the buyer in his unfailingly polite manner, how can your company help Wal-Mart?"