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POLICY/PHYSICIANS: Medpundit spreads (perhaps legitimate) FUD on P4P

Sydney (Medpundit) is very smart. Much of what she believes is wrong (i.e. I disagree with her), but she’s a great indicator of where the conservative (in both senses of the word) solo doc is, and you can bet your sweet ass that her and her ilk are not happy about the move towards pay for performance. Where she’s sharper than the rest of the tools in her shed is that she realizes that the WaPo series on Medicare is softerning up the local audience (in the Congress) for greater use of P4P in Medicare–a train that is fast leaving the station (and one that I am in general on board).

She doesn’t like it. Go read her piece and assume that this will be the AMA response, cos it will be and more so when there’s real money on the line. And then we’ll see who really controls Medicare payment policy in this country.

POLICY: We need to separate the Medicare discussion

Those of you who get my FierceHealthcare newsletter (and if you don’t you should as it’s free!) will have read plenty from the NY Times last week about how Medicaid is a web of corruption and fraud and from the Washington Post this week about how Medicare is a maze of inefficiency that wastes one dollar in every three. OK; not exactly news to those of us in health care. In fact the very first post on THCB was about how screwed up Medicare was and why. (Hint: the answer is fee-for-service medicine)

This has now degenerated into a blogging argument between those "pro-business" DLC Democrats who think that the party should get in the vanguard of reforming those programs, and the liberal Dems who are scared (rightly) that given who’s in power (i.e. neither of them) any excuse possible will be taken by the current bunch of clowns running the country to eviscerate both programs to the detriment of those they cover.

And worse, TNR’s Jonathan Cohn who is probably quaffing his third latte before setting off to get his kids from soccer practice in his Volvo 4×4 has decided that, as his time is more valuable than mine, I should have to do remedial education for the whole party.

The first point obviously is that in any sensible country the liberal end and the pro-business end of the Democratic party would be two different parties, and the fundamentalist loonies/mercantilist thieves that compromise the Republican party here would still be locked in the attic. But given that that’s not the case, let me try to set out the problem here as simply as possible.

The problem: Government-funded health care programs in the US (and Medicare and Medicaid are by far the two largest programs within that category) do two completely different things

First, these are benefit programs for seniors and the very poorest of the poor. Without them, the elderly would be dying in the streets (just as the uninsured actually are), just as without social security we’d be back to bread lines. That is because (and this is something the American public just cannot get its brain around) health care costs are very uneven –they are concentrated among the old, the sick and the poor far more than other groups — and if we want to help those groups we have to subsidize them. That is what social insurance is, and that’s why we pay taxes. (Or at least that’s a small part of why we pay taxes, and it’s the part that Grover Norquist et al think we shouldn’t be paying for). The good news is that overall the American public believes in that cross-subsidization, whatever Grover and his pals may think.

Now we come to the second part of the story. Medicare and to a smaller effect Medicaid are extremely complex programs that don’t give a direct benefit to their "members" but instead allow an entire industry (in fact many industries) to deliver goods and services to those people with the government picking up the tab. Yup, Medicare is closer to defense spending than anything else, and within it there’s the same level of complexity, fraud and bad behavior as in that sector (and I never mentioned Halliburton once. Dang, just did!). In fact as Medicare sets the tone for almost all health care spending, but there are hundreds of payers rather than just one big one, health care is probably more complex, fraud-ridden, and inhabited by murky characters than defense…but I digress.

More importantly the defense contractors doctors,hospitals, insurers and more recently drug companies were heavily involved in the writing of the original rules of these programs (for more read down in my Hillarycare article from last week). So they made the programs look as much like an open spigot to the US Treasury as possible, and the Federal government has been trying (and failing) to balance between the aggressive demands of those concentrated interests and those of the beleaguered taxpayer ever since. And although Medicare is very popular among its recipients (remember their alternative is dying in the streets), because costs have gone up so much, as a share of income those recipients have greater proportional out of pocket costs than they did back when the program was introduced–even though Medicare is taking care of most of their costs.

Why is this? Well essentially the cost of health care is the services delivered times the price. Those delivering services will always tell you that if you want to reduce costs you must reduce services, and will always explain why the other side of that equation must be fixed (or in fact must ratchet upwards). Of course, that’s been explained many times to be rubbish, but that won’t stop providers putting a bunch of old ladies on the street to protest Medicare cuts….and hence blurring the lines between the two parts of the story.

If they are really interested in getting this debate advanced along, both sides within the Democratic persuasion should agree on two things.

First, that the health care system as a whole will always raise prices and accept losing a few to the uninsured pool as a price effect, rather than seek a different solution because that solution is to put everyone into one pool and, gulp, limit the total dollars going into it. That’s why universal coverage (with some manner of a controlled budget) is in the end the only way to get costs under control–and it’s done that way in every other country, even if they all look very different to each other. If you don’t do that, the system will inevitably keep costing more and more, and Medicare and Medicaid will have to pay their share of it. You see we can always spend more, and would you deny care to a little old lady?

Second, that even without getting to universal coverage, you can reform Medicare and Medicaid in ways that providers may not like without financially or physically hurting patients, and that those reforms may also help reduce the waste and fraud (or at least put it on the tab of a private insurer!). How to do that is a much, much longer conversation, but the important part for this piece is that it is theoretically separable from the need to privatize the funding of the system (via means testing), which will turn Medicare from a benefit program to a welfare program — with the inevitable result of it being marginalized and all the gains of the first part of our story being eroded.

TECH: Microsoft spreads Vista FUD

Get your conspiracy theories going. One day after the VA and CMS release VistA for small physician offices, Microsoft tells the world that its "new" OS Longhorn (or Windows 2003 or whatever it was originally) will, in a stunning piece of Redmond originality, be called Vista.

Well they could have called it LyNux. Has anyone noticed that VistA is open source and free?

POLICY: Immigrants use less care

As you’d rationally expect, immigrants end up using less health care than those born here. My assumption is that it’s a factor of income and insurance status, and it seems that they do use relatively more ER care because of that. On the other hand many legal and illegal immigrants are paying taxes and not using services (especially those of working age paying Medicare tax, but planning to retire back to their country of origin), and are probably a net financial gain to the health care system.

But overall I just wonder how Don Johnson’s going to spin this.

POLICY/POLITCS: Clintoncare — a quick review

Following my piece on Hlillarycare and why it failed, Martin Goldsmith wrote to me with a slightly more comprehensive review of everything that happened. This is from a article submitted for the forthcoming 11th Presidential Conference — William Jefferson Clinton @ Hofstra University. Martin is a Philadelphia hospital system veteran who was President of National Association of Urban Hospitals during the time in question.

——-

The climate never looked more ripe for reform than it did in 1993.

Relatively unknown Democratic candidate Harris Wofford beat popular former Governor Dick Thornburgh in the 1990 Senate race in Republican-leaning Pennsylvania on healthcare reform platform – not a lot of specifics but  “everyone deserves a doctor” got the job done .The recession of the late 80’s/very early 1990’s caused middle class suburbanites to fear the loss of health care coverage. This anxiety soon was evident throughout much of the country.

With the election of Clinton, in part, on a health reform platform, there was an air of inevitability. In, fact, it was near impossible for any group to oppose broad-based health reform and few did.

For the first time, The American Medical Association, U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Republican Senate leadership – i.e. Bob Dole, supported universal coverage and employer mandates.

While my paper focused on the Clinton healthcare legacy, it was impossible to explore that legacy without substantial exposure to the views of assorted scholars, pundit/journalists and former administration insiders as to the reasons the Clinton Administration failed:

The content is borrowed – the categories are mine

  • There really was a right wing conspiracy – immediately after the Wofford victory, Newt Gingrich began organizing to stop the Democrats (this predated Clinton’s nomination) from successfully sponsoring health reform. He feared if they owned it, the political boost would rival the decades long benefit they enjoyed from the New Deal
  • The Task Force was a huge bust
    • The anti- feminist reaction to Hilary’s appointment to lead the Task Force
    • Ira Magaziner was a kook, there was too much secrecy, the endeavor was too academic and theoretical and it took far too long
    • The Reform Task Force excluded and demonized key stakeholders – Republicans, drug companies and others almost insuring their opposition
  • In the end there was insufficient popular support
    • The economy improved – the middle-class’s fear dissipated
    • The middle class, with the help of the Clinton’s opponents, feared increased taxes to pay for the health care of the uninsured.
    • The fear of government involvement – the old socialized medical argument – the risk of the loss of privacy
    • The scandals – Whitewater, Troopergate, …caused the President to lose influence with Congress and the public
  • What did you expect, health reform was the 3rd most important domestic priority for the American people?
  • The packaging of health care as an inalienable right didn’t resonate with the public

  • The Practical Realities
    • The health care system may simply be too large & complex to really achieve a complete overall. For sure, the solution was too complex.
    • The passage of the deficit reducing/tax increasing first Clinton budget consumed too much political capital
    • The whole thing took too long. There were too many obstacles…from the illness and subsequent death of Hilary’s father to Somalia, Haiti, NAFTA…..
    • The power of the special interest groups on the Hill was too great.

  • Political Missteps
    • The Administration didn’t work with Congress soon enough. A little party unity would have gone a long way.
    • The timing was terrible; welfare reform should have gone first
    • The opponents ran a better campaign – Harry and Louise resonated with the American people. The Administration’s proposal had supporters but no real champions

“Medicare” expansion — the simpler, most obvious approach — was largely ignored!

POLICY: The War On Pain Doctors gets to the big time

NY Times Op-Ed columnist John Tierney (the guy who is the replacement for long-time conservative columnist William Safire) has written two excellent articles; one on the war on patients and one on pain doctors — basically exposing the DEA for the corrupt, vicious organization that it is. I’m very glad that this issue is getting off the more limited pages of the anti-drug war crowd’s blogs and into the mainstream.  I have posted about this on THCB plenty of times, but it’s great that it’s getting more mainstream.  What’s tragic is how bad things have become before the major media in this nation has noticed at all.

If you are in the least interested in this issue — and if you are about health care and/or freedom you should be — I urge you to visit the Pain Relief Network site, to see Radley Balko’s excellent posting on the Karen Tandy, the head of the DEA’s pathetic response to his earlier article, to see Ron Libby of Cato’s long article on the subject.

And finally, why has the AMA not gotten involved? This is a national medical disgrace (so much so that my venerable surgeon father has sent money to William Hurwitz MD’s appeal fund).

TECH: Here comes VistA and eRx update

This week CMS announced that the oft-touted VistA system — the EMR developed by the VA — would be made available for free. Given that similar EMR systems are sold for up to $15,000 a seat, this might appear to be a boon to the computerization of the physician practice, while simultaneously destroying the prospects of commercial software companies in that market. But there are many uncertainties.

VistA was built for government hospitals and has been converted to the private small office environment. It doesn’t really have a billing function integrated, nor yet does it link well with other clinical systems. Plus it’s apparently tricky to install, there’s at least one rival EMR system based on it and there’s only a nascent open-source support movement surrounding it — albeit one CMS is trying to encourage. In addition small office practices may do better with an ASP system rather than setting up their own technology. However, what VistA’s availability will likely do is reduce the price of EMR systems for physicians, even if that price is only a small component of the overall "cost" of EMR adoption. And it’s good to see the government realizing that the most crucial part of automating health care is computerizing the physician’s clinical workflow.

I hope to have more on open-source IT in EMRs and the fate of the small office shortly.

Meanwhile, I got this update from Manhattan Research about ePrescribing.  The number of doctors using eRx is now at 14%, 80% of whom are in big groups (and probably using eRx as part of a total EMR solution).  The number using eRx on handhelds is up 300% since last year (although it’s a much smaller proportion of that total and they wouldn’t tell me exactly what it was –after all they are trying to sell this research!)

Finally the piece I’ve been working on about prescribing, including eRx, is being put into editorial today and should be out in the Fall.  I’ll let you all know about that when it comes out.

BLOGS/TECH: Brief musings on technology

Just brief musings for Thursday, after I blew way too much time on the HillaryCare piece earlier this week at the neglect of paid employment….

Browsers: I have downloaded Firefox 1.0.6. You may recall that I went back to Internet Explorer after the Firefox 1.0.4 update slowed my surfing to a crawl despite everyone’s help. Well sad to say the 1.0.6 update doesn’t seem to have improved it at all….still way slower than Explorer. Explorer does suffer from more annoying pop-unders though. Any suggestions? Please put them in the comments.

Bloglines: I finally broke down and started using Bloglines. Actually I stole Enoch Choi’s Bloglines subscriptions, then kicked out the stuff that he likes and I don’t on Wine and Parenting, and added in my own stuff on Soccer and Politics….Thanks Enoch! Then I went through all his links and added a few of my own. Bloglines is far superior to My Yahoo as a usable user interface, and I am now more or less up to date on lots more blogs than I used to know about.

Links: Which leads me to another modest gripe. Because THCB has a reasonably good traffic (i.e. in the hundreds rather than in the tens) I have been getting lots of requests to share links. Some of them are dinged immediately because they are from online pharmacies, but many are from other good looking health and medical blogs. So as of today I’m putting out a new request. Please if you want me to link to you send a URL of your RSS feed which I cant stick in Bloglines. If I think that your site has legs over time and is worth a link (i.e. not in the first 2 weeks) then I’ll add it to the links as I get around to it occasionally — or when John explains to me how to add links in Typepad!

Devices and Security: Finally some substance from a blog which will definitely get a link when I get around to fixing my links. Medical Connectivity Consulting has an article about whether medical devices are regulated by HIPAA (and the answer is yes!). This is less obscure than it sounds, as the issue of security of medical devices is becoming a screaming big deal. I have heard 3 stories lately of entire hospital networks being infected by viruses that originated from medical devices like ultrasound machines.  These devices are often on the network, but the CIO’s team can’t do things like add virus protection software to them because the manufacturer claims they’re FDA regulated and can’t be touched. This hasn’t stopped them picking up viruses or being hacked via modem, and in one case the network was accessed via one such device and turned into a porn server. Tricky stuff and becoming more tricky as more devices become digitized.

POLICY: Data on abortion

So the next Supreme Court justice has been announced and women’s right to choose about their own reproductive health will likely be substantially reduced, according to NARAL which really doesn’t like Roberts. Given that an interesting study was released today about the number of abortions in the US. The data shows that abortion rates fell dramatically over the 1990s.

In the year 2002, about 1.29 million women in the U.S. had abortions. In 1990, that number was 1.61 million…. for every 1,000 pregnancies that did not result in miscarriage in 2002, there were 242 abortions. This figure was 245 in 2000 and 280 in 1990.

In other words despite the rumor that abortions have gone up in number under Bush, they’ve stayed about the same overall (assuming a little population growth) and actually gone down per capita in the last few years — but not in a significant way. The really big change was from 1976 to 1990 when the numbers went up, then from 1990 to 2000 when the numbers went down.

I’m no expert on this issue and I tread very gingerly here, but doesn’t that at least somewhat imply that Clinton’s removal of the gag orders imposed by Reagan and Bush didn’t increase the number of abortions, but was some part of reducing them?

But the fact remains that some 20% of pregnancies end up in abortions. On a wider level that implies to me that we do a shitty job of helping women who don’t want to be pregnant from becoming pregnant. Given that we’re known how to do that since the 1960s, shouldn’t we be doing better?

Using these international data I found on this New Zealand government website, it seems that we are not doing as well as other countries in this aspect of our health care too.

Abortion ratios (abortions per 1,000 live births plus abortions) provide an alternative international comparison. The latest abortion ratio for New Zealand (223) is above that for Japan (217), and is lower than those for England and Wales (225), Australia (264), Canada (242), Sweden (258) and the United States (259). International comparisons are, however, affected by both coverage and laws relating to induced abortion. Consequently, the comparisons between New Zealand’s and other countries’ abortion experiences should be interpreted with caution.

Abortionrates

The chart above (purloined from this article from the British Medical Association) suggests that some countries have done better, and of course it’s no surprise that the Dutch who have full reproductive rights along with comprehensive sex education, come out on top.  Apart from of course the Irish, where abortion is illegal — so their numbers are probably pretty dubious.

But overall, no one is doing too well. We are sadly a long way from "safe, legal and rare" and likely to be further from there after last night’s decision.

POLICY/POLTICS: Why Hillarycare failed…and what we need to learn from that failure

This is the continuation of an article I’ve threatened THCB readers with for some time about what in my view really happened the last time we got serious about health care reform.  And in it there are lessons for what we should do when the opportunity next comes up. (It’s also really long, so for the first time over here I’ve continued it “below the fold”)

There are lots of versions about what killed the 1993-4 health care reform effort.  Hillary Clinton has now decided that the problem was the lack of incrementalism in her plan.  Last week the New York Times said that since becoming a Senator:

She has deliberately avoided the major mistake she made as first lady, namely trying to sell an ambitious plan to a public with no appetite for radical change. <SNIP>. She summed up her approach in the first floor speech she delivered in the Senate about four years ago, when she unveiled a series of relatively modest health care initiatives. “I learned some valuable lessons about the legislative process, the importance of bipartisan cooperation and the wisdom of taking small steps to get a big job done,” she said, referring to the 1994 defeat of her health care plan.

On the other hand, some people are still claiming victory for the plan’s defeat even if they were at most modest bit players.  Here’s what one fawning bio says about former New York Lt Governor Betsy McCaughey

A 35-year-old senior fellow named Elizabeth McCaughey…wrote an article for The New Republic on what she discovered in a close reading of the 1,431-page document containing the Clinton Health Care Plan: Namely, that it would put every citizen in a single government-operated HMO. That one article shot down the entire blimp, and Betsy McCaughey became a 35-year-old Cinderella. One of the richest men in America chose her as his wife, and George Pataki made her lieutenant governor of New York.

Ignoring the fact that McCaughey spent her time thereafter putting poor New Yorkers into those HMOs she so despised, and then went off the deep end en route to divorce from Pataki, the rich guy, and reality (not necessarily in that order), it’s not really true that one article in The New Republic can be quite that influential. (Sorry Jon!).  Even if the overly geeky Clintonistas in the White House did feel that they had to come out with a point by point rebuttal. And anyway, the article only came out in January 1994 by which time the die was more or less cast the other way. Again we have to look elsewhere for the explanation.

If you want to go back and spend a few minutes wallowing in the era of trial balloons and secret task forces, there’s a very interesting time line of the whole process on the NPR website, as well as a briefer information over at the Clinton Health Plan Wikipedia site. It seems like there was a moment when it could have succeeded, and indeed there may well have been. What has been missing from the whole discussion over multiple blogs over the last couple of months has been the understanding that there’s a real world outside Washington and that sometimes (but not too often) what’s going on there has an impact inside the beltway.

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