Categories

Above the Fold

TECH: Charlie Baker is concerned about Bill Gates….

So on Weds night I met longtime THCB commenter (and old world pension fund manager) Barry Carrol. He told me that he also reads the Harvard Pilgrim blog. I didn’t even know they had one.

Thursday morning, Tom Donald at Bazian emailed me a link to a post there…so I know now that Charlie Baker—who runs the artist once known as the Harvard Community Health Plan and now called Harvard Pilgrim—has his own blog (and has had for most of 2007!). This makes him the second major Boston health care CEO to have one, even if he can’t quite match Paul Levy for his frequency of delivery, or Paul’s colleague the man in black superstar CIO John Halamka (who also has a new blog) for ubbergeekiness.

While we’re on the topic left-coast patient safety and hopsitalist guru Bob Wachter has a great new blog also.

…and you thought those four all had real jobs….(ho, ho)

There is a point to all this, really. It’s that dealing with process change in health care is deeply cultural and that you can’t just do it with technology alone. That is what Charlie is pointing out to Bill Gates. Read the post, it’s very worthwhile but it’s also worth remembering that culture gets calcified by incentives.

And something that all four of these relatively new and high powered bloggers all intuitively know, and something that makes health care reform quite tough.

BLOGS/HEALTH 2.0: The Health 2.0 Blog

Today, with Indu Subaiya my partner in the Health 2.0 Conferences, I am very happy to announce the logical continuation of the increased focus on Health 2.0: The Health 2.0 Blog.

This is a new group blog to which anyone in the Health 2.0 community can contribute, and we hope that it’s going to be a forum for great discussion. We’ll be crosslinking with THCB but hopefully you’ll see the emphasis here move slightly away from all that Health 2.0 stuff. Please head over there to find out more.

And to celebrate we’re having drinks tonight at the Hibernian Lounge, 34 East 4th Street, New York at 6pm.

HEALTH PLANS: I am dumb, dumb, dumb

I know what you’re thinking but it’s not that. Late last year
I went back and forth with Bob at Health Policy and Marketplace Review on why, given the unlikely prospects for much growth in Medicare reimbursement and the Democrats’ win in November, the stock price of health plans servicing Medicare–and making a packet off it–had not collapsed. No need to rehearse that argument here, other than to note that life was not likely to be getting better for the stock prices of the companies still big into that sector (United, Humana, etc)

Then I went to a fun meeting in Nashville this May which had lots of industry scuttlebutt and featured several experts on reinsurance. Everyone there was talking about one Florida health plan, specializing in Medicare and Medicaid and its very dubious offshore transactions with its captive re-insurer.

Continue reading…

From Chatter, To Ideas, To Action: Humana’s Change Now 4 Health Campaign

You may be dubious that a big health insurer has much to add to the policy debate. But buried inside many of the giants are some interesting people indeed. Case in point Humana and its attempt to start an open discussion about reform. Here’s Fard Johnmar to give his perspective.

In late 2003, Congress funded a potentially powerful initiative designed to engage ordinary Americans in a dialogue about health reform.  This project, The Citizens’ Health Care Working Group (CHCWG), was funded along with the controversial Medicare Part D program.  It was designed to ignite a national public debate about how to improve the US health system so that “every American can obtain quality, affordable healthcare coverage.”  Beginning in 2005, 14 people, handpicked by the US Comptroller General held a series of meetings with ordinary Americans (the Secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS) served as the 15th member).  In addition, thousands of Americans chimed in online with their ideas for changing the system.  They made the following recommendations: -Establish Public Policy That All Americans Have Affordable Healthcare-Guarantee Financial Protection Against Very High Healthcare Costs-Foster Innovative Integrated Community Health Networks-Define Core Benefits & Services For All Americans-Promote Efforts To Improve Quality Of Care & Efficiency-Fundamentally Restructure The Way End-of-Life Services Are Financed & ProvidedIn September 2006, the Working Group delivered its recommendations to President George Bush.  In March, the president responded by rejecting CHCWG’s proposals.  HHS Secretary Mike Leavitt explained the president’s decision, saying that Bush agreed with many of the Working Group’s goals.  However, he “supports an approach emphasizing consumer choice and options . . . rather than mandates and government intervention.” Fundamental Healthcare Reform: Forever Stuck On Neutral? Bush’s response to the Working Group’s proposals highlights a key barrier to fundamental healthcare reform.  There are serious differences between many groups on how to radically change the system, which creates almost insurmountable logjams.  As William Roper, dean of the University of North Carolina School of Medicine, observed in the latest edition of Health Affairs: “The lesson of time, at least in quarter-century increments, is that the United States is fundamentally conservative in its view on changing its healthcare system.  Despite talk then and now by health policy elites about ‘fundamental reform,’ most changes in the U.S. healthcare system have been incremental.”  I agree with Roper.  Unfortunately, fundamental change will remain stuck on neutral for the foreseeable future.  Yet, we still have urgent problems that demand answers and the clock is ticking – in more ways than one.  In another essay published in this month’s edition of Health Affairs, Leonard Schaeffer suggests the usual suspects are running out of time to shape policy.  He thinks, “budget hawks and national security experts will eventually combine forces to cut health spending, ultimately determining health policy for the nation.” We must not allow this nightmare scenario to come to pass.  Although CHCWG Hit A Brick Wall, Is People Power Still The Answer? Although CHCWG failed to gain traction, getting the masses involved in reform efforts is a good idea.  However, we need to quickly move from attempting to broadly shape health policy to immediately implementing concrete ideas for change.  Fortunately, enterprising individuals, corporations and government agencies from across the country are chipping away at the system’s problems.  Unfortunately, these ideas often do not catch on nationwide because we don’t know about them.  This is where Humana comes in.  On November 19, the health company will officially launch Change Now 4 Health (CN4H), a broad, grassroots coalition committed to improving the nation’s healthcare system through immediate action.  Although launched in the shadow of CHCWG, Humana is not reinventing the wheel.  Rather it is: -Using Web 2.0 tools including blogs and online forums to form communities of change-oriented individuals to address specific problems-Doing its best to encourage rapid action rather than more recommendations for change that may or may not be implemented by policymakers -Using the wisdom of crowds to focus national attention on solutions to our shared problems -Allowing the community to come up with ideas rather than trying to control the conversation Of course, the biggest question is whether Humana can credibly manage this effort.  If it were trying to control CN4H from above, the answer would be no.  Instead, the company is doing something revolutionary (for the health industry).  It is providing the platform for CN4H, but leaving it up the community to determine its own direction.  Humana is putting its trust in the collective expertise of the public to determine its own course. How Will CN4H Move Beyond Talk To Action? Ultimately, Humana hopes to generate concrete ideas by facilitating three levels of online dialogue about reform:-Level 1 – High Level Issues: Humana has recruited a number of individuals (I am one of them) to develop blogs on key problems facing the health system.  While we are being compensated for our time, Humana is leaving editorial control of the blogs to us.  My blog focuses on how we can help consumers make better health decisions.  Humana has not edited or censored any of my blog posts. –Level 2 – Concrete Ideas For Change: This month, Humana will launch a series of online forums where individuals can discuss ideas for change.  –Level 3 – Idea Submission & Discussion:  To encourage public comment, Humana will produce an online form where people can submit their ideas for changing the system – today.  These ideas will be funneled into the bulletin boards and discussed on the community blogs.  Also, community participants will be able to vote on ideas. Spreading Ideas For Change Humana has committed to help spread the ideas generated by the community in a number of ways.  Most importantly, the company will fund the production of an e-book, tentatively titled “50 Ideas For Changing Health Today.” The fifty ideas receiving the most votes by the community will be featured in the book.  This free publication will be made available on the CN4H Website and major online book retailers, such as Barnes & Noble.com and Amazon.com.  Humana will also distribute the book to stakeholders in both the public and private sectors.  CN4H: Putting The Wisdom Of Crowds To Work I decided to become involved with this effort for many reasons.  (And, although it is nice to be compensated for some of my time, money had very little to do with it.)  Most importantly, I am a firm believer in the power of the wisdom of crowds to solve the most complex and vexing problems – health reform certainly qualifi
es.  In addition, I have been frustrated that previous efforts to change the health system have resulted in a lot of sound and fury, but very little action.  We need reform now, and our collective wisdom and intellect can make a real difference.  I encourage everyone reading this post to: –Visit The CN4H Community Website: Currently, the site features blog posts, but Humana will be deploying additional tools and features at and after the program’s launch –Spread The Word:  We are relying on the online community to shape the program.  Please help us by spreading the word about CN4H –Discuss, Submit & Vote On Ideas: Help make the e-book “50 Ideas For Changing Health Today” a reality by discussing, submitting and voting on ideas generated by the community I look forward to seeing what we can do together. 

HEALTH 2.0: Drinks for Health 2.0 in New York City

Indu, John and Matthew will be in New York City tomorrow night (Wednesday 7th), and we thought that we’d invite any Health 2.0 folks on the East coast who are in New York to join us for impromptu happy hour. Time is 6pm.

So please join us at the Swift Hibernian Lounge. The address is 34 E 4th St, New York, NY 10003, and we’ll be in the back room with the long tables. Please come stop by to hear about our plans for Health 2.0 in San Diego and share a drink.

Why Aren’t More Students Applying To Medical School?

Did you know that there are only two applicants for every place in U.S. medical schools?

In Canada, surprisingly, close to four students apply for each opening. The training in the two countries is very similar; indeed, the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) accredits medical schools in both countries.  And, in the U.S., at the high-end, physicians  can hope to earn far more than Canadian doctors.

Why then do so few Americans apply to medical school?

The answer is that we have priced a medical education well beyond the reach of most middle-class students.  In 2004, tuition and fees at a public medical school averaged $16,153. Students who attended a private school paid $32,588 according to a 2005 study published in The New England Journal of Medicine.

The author, Dr. Gail Morrison, Vice Dean for Education at University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, tacks on $20,000 to $25,000 a year for living expenses, books and equipment to calculate that the total cost of four years of medical education comes to a heady $140,000 for public schools and $225,000 for private schools.  I’d add that, in many American cities, students would be hard-pressed to cover rent, food, clothing, utilities and transportation for $20,000 a year—let alone books and equipment.

This helps explain why 60 percent of all medical students come from the wealthiest one-fifth of all U.S. families. Another 20 percent come from families lucky enough to be on the fourth step of a five step ladder.

In Canada, by contrast, a medical education is much more affordable. In Quebec province, for example, students paid a piddling $2,943 in tuition last year—though admittedly, this deal was available only to Quebecers. But elsewhere in Canada, tuition averaged just $12,728—about 25 percent less than Americans were paying to attend a public medical school back in 2004, and about 60 percent less than they laid out to attend a private school.

As a result Canadian students are much more open to becoming primary care physicians, even though they know that internists earn lower salaries than specialists. Granted,  in Canada the government determines the ratio of residencies for primary care versus specialties, but students are willing to fill the spots. Canada is now close to its goal of having 50 percent of its physicians practicing primary care.

In the U.S., where the Association of Medical Colleges strongly supports free choice of specialty for students, only about one-third of medical school graduates become primary care physicians. This is understandable: the average U.S. student leaves med school with $130,000 in debt. Moreover, unlike law or business students who enter the workforce immediately after graduation and can begin to pay off their debt, the average medical school graduate spends an additional three to six years in postgraduate training programs while interest continues to pile up. Meanwhile, he is painfully aware of salary differentials: recent numbers show the average family doctor earning $146,000 while the typical invasive cardiologist brings home $400,000. And at the beginning of his career, a family doctor can expect to earn much less—perhaps $100,000, before taxes.

Little wonder then, that the share of medical students pursuing careers in primary care has plummeted from 49 percent in 1997 to 37 percent in 2003; over the same span, the number gravitating toward careers in radiology, orthopedics, ophthalmology, and dermatology has sky-rocketed.

Yet we don’t need more dermatologists. But we do need more primary care physicians. Decades of research done at Dartmouth University show that when Americans see more family doctors and fewer specialists, outcomes are better, in large part because patients receive more preventive care and ongoing management of chronic diseases before they become serious. (I have previously written about this issue for Dartmouth.)

But it’s not just that the high cost of med school is leaving us with too many specialists and too few generalists. Spiraling tuition also explains why middle-class and working-class Americans are not well-represented in the profession. Keep in mind that only 20 percent of physicians come from the lowest three steps on that five-step ladder—which includes the third step where median-income families live.

According to the NEJM, a recent national survey of under-represented students reveals that the cost of attending medical school was the number-one reason they did not apply. Meanwhile an Institute of Medicine report found that while Hispanics constitute 12 percent of the population, they account for only 3.5 percent of all physicians, and though 1 in 8 Americans is black, fewer than 1 in 20 physicians is black. As Morrison observes: “Continuing this trend has far-reaching consequences for the national health care workforce, which needs diverse physicians in order to address the needs of an increasingly heterogeneous patient population.”

Of course low-income students could take out loans just the way more affluent students do. But if you are coming from a median-income household (with a joint income of roughly $50,000), it is easy to see how the idea of being $130,000 in debt could seem terrifying. After all, what if you married, your wife became pregnant, and you had to move out of your tiny one-bedroom apartment just as you were beginning your career? What if you and two fellow graduates opened a small practice—and discovered, after a year, that the three of you just couldn’t make the overhead? More fledgling practices go under than one might imagine. What if you gave birth to twins and realized that you needed to take a nine-month sabbatical from your medical career? How would you continue paying off your debt?

Students coming from families on the top step of the ladder have a financial safety net. They know that, in an emergency, it is likely that parents or grandparents will come forward with interest-free loans or a gift. Students from poorer families realize that they will be out there, alone, with tens of thousands of dollars in loans.

Finally—and perhaps most importantly—the sky-high cost of a medical education creates a shallow applicant pool, making it harder for medical schools to find the very best doctors. Schools, after all, are looking for those rare individuals who are not only fiercely intelligent, but compassionate and committed to medicine as a service profession. What a patient needs is both competence and kindness.

Yet, if medical schools are accepting one out of every two applicants, just how discriminating can they be? How often must they wind up taking students who are bright, hard-working and ambitious enough to nail the required GPA—but lack the imagination to understand that there is more to being a doctor? A larger applicant pool—a pool that was both broader and deeper—would be more likely to yield students who possess the range of talents needed to become  an exceptional physician.

When Morrison tries to find a solution to these problems, she runs into a brick wall.  She suggests that the federal government needs to do more by expanding and protecting the National Health Service Corps Loan Repayment Program, for example, and broadening the tax-exempt status of medical scholarships. “But,” she acknowledges, “these initiatives may not be top priorities for a government dealing with war in Iraq, a growing national debt, and threats of terrorism.”

“Perhaps, then,” she concludes, “our best hope lies in individual medical schools finding creative ways to reduce the need for loans and to adjust financial policies so as to reduce tuition.”

But the truth is that in order to train students, medical schools need to make enormous capital investments in the priciest, newest medical technologies. As a result, the cost of educating a student can easily outstrip the tuition the school receives. And while academic medical centers have other sources of government funding, many also provide more care for uninsured and Medicaid patients than the average hospital. They’re in no position to slash tuition.

Ideally, the federal government would find the funds to offer far more generous scholarships to students willing to become primary care physicians and practice in the areas where they are most needed for four or five years after graduating. Many might well put down roots.

As an alternative, Princeton economist Uwe Reinhardt has proposed an intriguing solution. In a “Health Affairs” article titled “Dreaming The American Dream: Once More Around On Physician Workforce Policy” Reinhardt suggests that the government might create a “human capital market in which medical students could borrow the funds needed to pay for their own medical education”—and pay off the debt gradually, the way one pays off a mortgage.  “A graduate’s indebtedness of, say, $200,000 upon entry into medical practice could  be fully amortized over twenty-five years, at an interest rate of 8 percent, with annual payments of about $18,700,” Reinhardt explains.  “If the payments were made tax-deductible, as they should be, the net burden on the physician might be no higher than half that amount. As Main Street enterprise goes, this is not an enormous debt-service burden.” [my emphasis]

“If all physicians were forced to debt-finance the full cost of their medical education,” he continues,  “then a public physician workforce policy might take the form simply of judiciously targeting tax-financed loan forgiveness to achieve certain desired social ends, be it a desired ethnic or gender mix in the physician supply, a desired specialty or spatial distribution of physicians, or a desired delivery of health services, such as care provided below the physician’s opportunity costs (including uncompensated care.) In principle, one could even use the mechanism to modulate the overall size of the physician workforce.”

“In effect,the policy would be a slight variant of the current ROTC program for the military or the National Health Service Corps for physicians. These two programs prepay the cost of the student’s human capital and then hope to collect on it through mandated subsequent service. The program proposed here would force the student to accumulate financial indebtedness first and forgive that debt only in step with actual service delivery.”

Reinhardt admits that this would be “a radical departure from conventional physician workforce policy in the United States and in other countries.” Though he notes that, “unlike the United States, most other countries do not treat health care as basically a private consumer good and medical practice as just another form of free enterprise. Instead, they tend to treat physicians as quasi civil servants with explicit social obligations.”

Would such a program fly in the U.S.? It’s hard to imagine requiring all medical students to take out loans to finance their education. (Though the truth is that today, only 20 percent pay cash for tuition—the other 80 percent go into debt.) Moreover, the idea of amortizing medical school loans, like a mortgage, over 25 years, and making them tax-deductible is appealing. It means that young doctors who are trying to start a career and a family won’t be as strapped as they are today. And if the government “judiciously” targeted loan-forgiveness programs to achieve desired social ends, we could hope to have both primary care doctors and specialists more evenly distributed around the country, in the places where they are needed most. This, in turn, could make universal health care more affordable.

Reinhardt’s proposal is just one scheme for financing the cost of medical education.  But it’s provocative, and should encourage us to begin thinking about how to open the doors of our medical community to a larger group of applicants coming from a much broader spectrum of society.

Maggie Mahar is an award winning journalist and author. A frequent contributor to THCB, her work has appeared in the New York Times, Barron’s and Institutional Investor. She is the author of  “Money-Driven Medicine: The Real Reason Why Healthcare Costs So Much,” an examination of the economic forces driving the health care system. A fellow at the Century Foundation, Maggie is also the author the increasingly influential HealthBeat blog, one of our favorite health care reads, where this piece first appeared.

THCB: At last, comment feeds

Apparently Typepad (which hosts this blog) is moving into the early 21st century and allowing comment feeds–a feature I’ve wanted for about 3 years which appears to be on every other blog.

So now when you’ve commented on a post you’ll be able to get pinged when there are new comments without having to come back and check. We’ll let you know when it’s fully operational over here on THCB.

Man Bites Dog: Candor in Washington, By Michael L. Millenson

Something odd happened when the health policy establishment gathered in Washington last Thursday to celebrate the 25th anniversary of Health Affairs and honor founding editor-in-chief John Iglehart on his retirement. Perhaps because so many of the participants knew each other so well, the Health Policy Summit was marked by genuine thoughtfulness and persistent outbursts of candor.

In the former category, former-Bush-administration-all-purpose-expert Mark McClellan gave a closely reasoned keynote calling for a health care system that functioned as a “learning organization” for the advancement of evidence-based medicine.  Unfortunately, the dense content was difficult to fully follow in a paper read off with the pace and inflection of a husband assuring his wife he’d remembered to pick up all the groceries.

In the candor category, Gail Wilensky, a high-ranking official in Bush I, noted that the health care reform proposals of the Republican candidates at this point in the primary season did not represent serious attempts at universal coverage. HCA CEO Jack Bovender, identifying himself as a life-long Republican, was even blunter.  Asked what he liked about the Republican proposals, he replied: “Nothing.” Bovender then rattled off a three-point plan for universal coverage that he thought Republicans could support.

Nor did the Republicans have a lock on political non-pandering.

Continue reading…

POLICY: Dogs and sores at the Gray Lady, yet again

I thought that the NY Times was getting better, honestly. After all Gina Kolata, a major offender in the dogs licking sores series of last year, did feature Jack Wennberg this summer. But then recently the Times published an op-ed written by a big Pharma PR flack. At least that was an op-ed, even if it should have been on the op-ed pages of the WSJ. Now, we have “economic view” on health care written by Greg Manikw, the former chief Bush economic adviser who appears to be reinventing himself as a Romney flack. Manikw has some interesting ideas about carbon taxes (which of course never saw the light of day while he had any influence in the Administration), but why does the Times “economic view” on health care means regurgitating a bunch of Manhattan Institute talking points?

For that matter, if he’s an economist, why isn’t Manikw making any attempt at balance? And why is the Times letting him get away with this. As I said, it’s not the WSJ.

OK, so what are the points he makes. Standard Manhattan talking point stuff, so let me add the standard talking point answers.

Continue reading…

assetto corsa mods