Categories

Tag: Policy

POLICY/BLOGS: More slack crap from Medpundit exposes the big conservative morality lie

Late last month the NY Times had a pretty horrendous article about a family that was losing its house because it couldn’t pay for all the co-pays and co-insurance for its sick son’s care. I’ve just got round to catching up on my reading and I’m pretty shocked. You might think that someone who’d taken the Hippocratic oath might decide not to pile in on this, but you’d have mistaken the ever blackening stone that Syd at Medpundit seems to have in place of a heart these days.

She decides that the problem is that the family ran up credit card debt. And one of her readers jumps in to!

Sounds like the real problem here might be the credit cards.I get one or two notices of bankruptcy a year concerning my patients. They always list the debt that is to be forgiven along with the creditors, and it’s overwhelmingly credit card debt – the major cards and the local retailers that have their own credit cards. That’s probably true for the general population as well – which is why the Times couldn’t find a better example of people with health insurance going broke because of medical expenses alone. UPDATE: A reader does the math: The $5,000 a year quoted comes out to: $416.67 a month, $13.69 a day, 7% of the household’s income. One mistake people do make in managing their financial affairs is that they fail to readjust their living standards downward to account for unexpected regular expenses (e.g., sell the house and car and downgrade).Or are we so rich now that the idea is that not only should an illness not bankrupt but that you shouldn’t have to skip trips to the mall?

The only problem is that Syd and her reader failed to read the bloody article! Here’s what it said and it is quickly apparent that the expenses connected to the kid’s illness massively exceed their max-out of pocket and the $5000 number, almost certainly because many of these expenses are somehow excluded from their insurance coverage.

Then the bills started coming in. After a week in the hospital, the couple’s share came to $1,100 – not catastrophic, but more than their small savings. They enrolled in a 90-day payment plan with the hospital and struggled to make the monthly installments of nearly $400, hoping that they did not hit any other expenses.

But Zachery, who was eventually found to have an immune system disorder, kept getting sick, and the expense of his treatment – fees for tests, hospitalizations, medicine – kept mounting, eventually costing the family $12,000 to $20,000 a year.

So the cost is not the $5,000 a year. That’s just the co-pay on ONE of his drugs. The rest is between $12 and $20K a year, and the poor bloody father is out working 90 hours a week to make just 68K a year (which for those of you counting at home is under $30K for a regular working week). So somewhere between 17% and 30% of the family’s PRE-tax income was going to these costs. That’s way more than any young family is going to have to spare, unless perhaps they have a high-earning physician bringing home the bacon. So either the Times didn’t do any fact checking (and God knows they have a sorry legacy on checking them when it helps conservative loonies and their issues), or this family was financially destroyed by medical bills despite having some insurance coverage. And "some" is the appropriate word here:

As the family went from one doctor to the next, without a diagnosis of the root problem, the insurance company often questioned the expenses. Why did Zachery need four doctor visits or five rounds of antibiotics for an ailment that most children shook off in a couple of days? Mrs. Dorsett spent days on the phone, often in voice-mail loops, and often long-distance, pleading her case.

"Like when they refused to pay for antibiotics when he had pneumonia" last year, she said. "The antibiotics cost $373, and we didn’t have it. But we couldn’t just not give it to him. I knew the review board would come around eventually, but he needed the medicine right away. Finally the doctor gave us samples."

She managed the expenses, like many people, by constantly applying for new credit cards, rolling the debt from the old cards into the new ones, which usually came with low introductory interest rates. In a good year, they would have the rolling charges on their credit cards down to $5,000 or $6,000, but the charges always went up again.

And how does Syd’s reader really think they should do it?  Their solution: Stop going to the Mall! Of course Syd’s "reader" didn’t get to page two where it showed that they family buys its clothes at yard sales. And don’t bother bringing your plastic into Syd’s office for your co-pay. Syd apparently doesn’t know that you can use credit cards to pay medical bills, and that they charge outrageous interest rates, and that that is likely to be where the debt came from.

"Not only are the bills higher, but the way we pay for care has changed," said Elizabeth Warren, a professor at Harvard Law School and one of the study’s authors. "My mother always carried a bill with the doctor, but every dollar she paid went to principal. Today, the doctor takes a credit card, and a family might be paying that off at extraordinary interest rates. So people may recover physically from major medical injury, but may not recover financially."

So yup we have a nation of over spenders, but I don;t think this family fits the pattern. But the bullshit morality aimed at people with medical problems like this by our conservative brethren is just astounding. And I remind you that this does not go on to anything like this extent in other industrialized countries because they have come to the reasonable position that being sick should not be a financial death sentence.

POLICY: A tax proposal for fairness, but it’ll never make it, WITH UPDATE

Finally a tax proposal I approve of (even though it would hurt me personally). There’s a commission that wants to lower the limit on mortgage tax deductions.  But of course every elected official in California and New York is freaking out about it.

There has to be a way that this iniquitous tax break (and the one on health benefits) can be removed fairly so that those with the highest incomes don’t get most of the benefit. My proposal would be

1) Abolish all tax relief on second homes (currently you can get a deduction for mortgage payments on a second home with a mortgage of up to $1million)

2) Limit the deduction immediately to the interest on a mortgage that’s equivalent to the median house price in the CSMA (large metro area), so that the number would be bigger in San Francisco and New York, and smaller in Kansas, but then reduce that amount by 5% each year, phasing this out over 15-20 years. (Rather than gong straight to a "modest" house price and sticking with that ongoing)

That would immediately take away the advantage for the high income earners and restore some sanity to the housing market, as well as encouraging people to pay down their mortgages rather than borrow more against their homes for yet more consumer spending.  But it wouldn’t be such a radical move that it would kill the housing market overnight and send us into a recession.

But the panel has come out with average costs that clearly ignore the realities on the ground in more expensive states — The new cap would be linked to Federal Housing Administration mortgage limits set county by county each year based on the cost of a "modest” home. Those limits range from $172,632 in low-cost states to $312,895 in the most expensive counties, such as Santa Clara. Around here the median house price is closer to $750,000.

The trick is getting this number to stall so that housing becomes more affordable, the tax iniquity is not just reduced but eliminated altogether, but that it’s one in a way that doesn’t penalize people in more expensive states and wreck the whole plan.

Still it’s amazing to see that this Administration has anything to do with a plan which doesn’t give extra benefits to the very rich.

And of course health benefit tax deductibility is next, as this Managed Care magazine article discusses. Note the extremely sensible comments from Alain Enthoven and Uwe Reinhardt at the end of the article.

UPDATE–An interesting wrinkle suggested by Uwe. If employers had to put the amount they spend on health insurance on the employees’ W2 would they put the average they spend, or what they actually spend per employee?  Anyone who’s bought health insurance knows that a typical small company is quoted the amount per employee, so a 50 yr old person with a family costs a whole lot more than a 20-something single. Of course most employees don’t realize that. But to take this to its logical extreme for self-insured companies,  "premium" costs per se don’t exist. Instead costs are exactly equal to the actual costs of care for each employee. So should their employees see the total amount spent on their care, and then be taxed on that?  If you have a $100,000 hospital stay, should you pay tax on that money? More interesting conundrums to be worked out here too.

POLICY: The uninsured, health care costs, and the insurance industry’s vacuous response

It won’t surprise regular readers at THCB but there are a lot of uninsured people in this country, and the problem is getting worse. Why?  Well some bright wonks (John Holahan and Allison Cook at the generally liberal Urban Institute) have some answers and a closer look at the uninsured in a special for Health Affairs. (And of course only liberals care about this stuff–I’m happy to say that unequivocally, and not even all of them do!). They’ve mined the CPS for the 2000-2004 period and have come up with these conclusions (which I quote from freely as many of you can’t get Health Affairs for free–something else that should be changed if any Foundations are listening). Here’s what they found:

(1) The number of uninsured Americans rose by 6.0 million between 2000 and 2004 (the U.S. population increased by 10.0 million). The increase in uninsurance occurred primarily because of the decline in employer coverage, which fell both because a large number of Americans were not working and because coverage declined among workers. The latter no doubt reflects increases in health insurance premiums, which rose much faster (12.2 percent per year) than wages (2.9 percent per year) during this period. The percentage of small and midsize businesses (3–199 workers) offering health benefits also declined, from 68 percent in 2000 to 63 percent in 2004). Employers seem to have tried to shift the cost of health insurance to workers, and it is likely that a growing share of workers chose not to accept employers’ offers.The change in coverage was affected also by the shift in employment from industries that historically have had high rates of coverage to industries that have not, as well as from large firms to small firms and self-employment. Employer coverage rates fell in all types of industries and firms, but the declines were particularly great in low-coverage industries and in small firms. The fact that employer coverage rates fell among workers, not just among those who lost their jobs, suggests that rates of coverage could continue to decline, even as the economy improves.(2) About two-thirds of the increase in uninsurance was among people below 200 percent of poverty. This is due to increases in both the size of the low-income population and the uninsurance rate of that group. Importantly, however, middle- and higher-income Americans were also clearly affected. The remaining one-third of the growth in uninsurance (2.0 million) occurred among those above 200 percent of poverty, even though this group only grew by 900,000. Thus, the lack of health insurance coverage is clearly beginning to affect middle- and higher-income Americans.(3) Much of the increase in the uninsurance occurred among young adults, whites, and the native-born. About 50 percent of the uninsurance growth was among those ages 19–34; about 55 percent among whites; and about 73 percent among native-born citizens. Thus, rising uninsurance is clearly not a problem affecting primarily racial and ethnic minorities and noncitizens. Further, more than half of the increase in the uninsured occurred in the South, where uninsurance rates were already the highest in the country.(4) Children actually gained health insurance coverage. The expansions of coverage in Medicaid and SCHIP that occurred in the late 1990s meant that children’s coverage was maintained, even with the loss of employer coverage. The expansion of public programs increased enrollment substantially. The result was actually a slight decline in uninsurance among children. Adults’ experiences were in sharp contrast, primarily because adults experienced the same declines in employer coverage but did not have the same access to public coverage. Also, people ages 55–64 actually saw improvements in both income and health insurance coverage. Without the gains seen for this group, the overall picture of rising uninsurance would have been much worse.The decline in employer coverage is likely to continue. Increases in health care costs, and thus health insurance premiums, are likely to continue to grow faster than workers’ earnings. The decline in employer coverage will be further exacerbated if the shift from working in large and midsize firms to small firms and self-employment and from high- to low-coverage industries continues

So to recap, the problem of uninsurance (which is a problem for everyone but mostly of course for those uninsured) is largely borne by a) the working poor (less than 200% of poverty)  — although its increasingly making its way up the income ladder, b) the young, and c) whites, d) southerners, and e) anyone likely to work for a small firm rather than a big one. What’s driving this is the higher cost of health care and the fact that employers are opting out of offering (affordable) benefits. Meanwhile public programs (i.e. Medicaid) are only picking up kids. Given the preponderance of lower income whites in the South who vote Republican, I’d be very interested in these numbers if I was a Democrat looking for new voters.

Of course as I’ve said many times on THCB, the presence of the uninsured is a safety valve allowing the participants in our health system to ratchet up costs as much as they can, because those who can’t pay can be jettisoned into the uninsured pool. No one is responsible for the global cost for the whole system, because if they were they’d bring it down for everyone, not just those uninsured, and the total dollars going into it would be less. (At least that’s how it’s done in every other country).

But the scale at which that jettisoning is going on (due to those cost increases) is even worrying those who make their living selling insurance. Here’s what the CEO of Independence Blue Cross (the Blues in Philly) had to say about the fact that premium for his PPO product is up 65% in the past 5 years and now costs $17,000 for a family:

One day soon, if the cost of health care continues to escalate, employers and families won’t be able to afford the solid coverage of Personal Choice,"

So what is he going to do about that? Well there is the odd nod to pay for performance and disease management, but no one will be surprised to hear that like his competitors, CHDPs and better technology are the cures for Independence.

"First," he said, "we must better respond to the emerging trends in health-care consumerism." IBC efforts in this area already include rolling out a variety of consumer-directed health plan options and launching its Connections Health Management program, which helps subscribers better manage chronic illnesses. <snip> Frick also wants to see the company expanding its use of technology to drive down administrative costs and improve customer service.

Now, as an actual health plan customer I’m in now way objecting to health insurers bring their customer service into the 1990s, but suggesting that this is going to cure the underlying cost of health care is rubbish. Meanwhile over at The New Republic, non-Volvo driving liberal Jonathan Cohn has a great article explaining why (again not news for THCB readers) that consumer driven plans are in general worse for poor and sick people. But don’t bother telling that to the insurance industry. it’s decided that CDHP is all it can sell, and it’s the only idea it’s got.

So I was interested in the response when in the middle of a mostly vacuous interview (PDF transcript here) Jack Rowe at Aetna last month was asked by a single payer advocate whether we should have an insurance industry at all.

BERNIE FEDDERLY [misspelled?]: And the one thing you would do to bring down a healthcare cost would simply be to go to a national healthcare plan – a single payor plan, which would eliminate those costs. The best thing we could do is probably get Aetna out of the healthcare field. How do you take on that?

JACK ROWE MD I think we disagree. I think Aetna’s part of the solution. It’s not part of the problem and I think there are lots of ways that private health insurers can improve the quality and access of care and help control the costs. I don’t think it’s proven that having a national system would help correct the healthcare cost problems. The costs, most economists agree, are driven up–not by health insurers, whose operating margins are, as you probably know, are well less than 10 percent on average but by demographic changes and technological advances. Neither of which are under our control. Those are a couple of other ways we disagree but I’m sure there are others.

Frankly if I was getting $18 million a year I’d have a better defense of my position than that, given that I’ve admitted that you could get 10% savings right off the top by nationalizing me, and given no reasons for not doing it. Especially when my business strategy (for all the BS in his talk about Aetna promoting racially sensitive health care) was to boot about half the people on my insurance rolls off them (no prizes for guessing whether they were the healthier half or not) and thereby add to the uninsurance and cost problems of the nation and its taxpayers because of it. Rowe’s lesser paid colleague Frick over at Independence at least has a bit more humility.

"I’ll be the first person to tell you we don’t have all the answers," Frick told DVHC members. "And I’ll be the first to tell you we don’t always get it right the first time, but we stick with it until we do."

Of course doing something that you know is not going to work expecting that it will is pretty close to the text book version of insanity. And his conclusion sounds frighteningly like that.

If health insurers gave a rat’s arse about the problems of the uninsured or health care costs, they would have a come-to-Jesus moment, get together and plot out a way that the uninsurance problem and the cost problem could be solved with them still remaining in the mix. That’s kinda of where they were forced to in the Clinton plan, and it still seems a better long-term option to me. As it is, they seem to be determined to take the short-term cash, and help the system break down to a point where a future government will be forced to take them out and replace them with a government-run plan. But there’ll be a whole lot more pain, suffering, and anguish before then.

QUALITY/POLICY: Vince Kuraitis on Medicare DM

On Friday, November 4th, 10:00 AM – 10:45 AM Pacific (1:00 PM – 1:45 PM Eastern), Vince Kuraitis, Principal. Better Health Technologies and a leading Disease Management guru will be doing an audioconference of this presentation as part of Managed Care OnLine’s (MCOLs) Managing Health Care Costs Web Summit. I’ve seen an advance copy of his presentation and if you are interested in figuring out what  the heck is going on within the Medicare DM experiment that was called CCIP and is now called something else, I suggest that you sign up.

(If you don’t work for a corporation that can pay the freight but are still desperate to see it, Vince might be able to help, so email  me).

POLICY/POLITICS/TECH/HEALTH PLANS: Trown out in the trash

Politically this has been quite a week. Don’t you think that John Kerry just wishes that we had five year Presidential terms and that he was going into the election this November, rather than a year ago? This week even the great flip-flopper himself came out with a plan as to how to get our troops out of Iraq. Pity he laid off all the attacks till the election was over (and same with Al Gore too!). Bush keeps ranting on about final victory in Iraq as if he had any idea what the hell he was talking about, and that he hadn’t declared Mission Accomplished two years ago. Now he finds that most of the cabal running the country’s foreign policy for the past 4 years are on their way to disgrace and/or jail, and that his incompetence in choosing a secret wingnut instead of a well-known one for the O’Connor seat on SCOTUS has lost him (at least temporarily) the support of the loony right.

What has any of this got to do with health care?

Well as they say on The West Wing, there are a couple of stories sitting in my backlog that I want to throw out in the trash. First BusinessWeek had a profile of David Brailer, stressing that he honestly believes that there’s a free-market solution to interoperability in our current health care system. Well he’s even lost Neal Patterson on that one (and yup last year Patterson spent a fortune failing to get his wife elected to the House as a Republican). Meanwhile, another leading health care IT exec who wants to get himself elected to Senate as a Republican (Rich Tarrant of IDX) is sounding somewhat like a commie in his support for Medicare and Medicaid. (Hat-tip Don McCane) Finally there was an extraordinary long interview in the New York Times with the founders of AFLAC (itself a pretty useless insurance product) in which they showed that you can make a duck famous while having absolutely no idea about how to fix the US health care system, even if you vaguely understand the problem.

All of this leads me to believe that the business class that runs the country is somehow getting around to this problem, and that they might not object to it being solved. If the Administration’s problems continue to pile on for all the crimes and cock-ups they’ve caused us in the last five years, then next October we might, just might, get a change in the Congress and put us on the road to a Democrat in the White House in 2009. If that happens (and I know this is all speculation) then health care will have to be the first issue on the domestic burner — which is a little sooner than I’d predicted. All pure speculation just now, but this week might be the turning point.

PHARMA/POLICY: The status quo versus the NHIN

Here’s my FierceHealthcare editorial this morning:

In a little over a week from now, there’s a special election in California with several propositions on the ballot–mostly to do with the political future of Arnold Schwarzenegger. But the two initiatives to do with drug pricing (Props 78 and 79) have seen an out pouring of money, almost all of it from drug companies. Their "Yes on 78, No on 79" commercials have plastered the airwaves, and the non-partisan Healthvote.org shows that by September 29 (i.e. not counting the last 10 days of campaigning) Big Pharma had donated nearly $80m for the joint campaigns, versus less than $2m spent by their opponents in favor of Prop 79.

The pluses or minuses of two propositions in one state are not the point of this editorial. The point is that a powerful piece of the status quo (Big Pharma) is prepared to spend so much to defend itself against what some might argue is a relatively minor attack on their pricing policy in only one state. The logical conclusion is that real reform of our health system, which will by definition require changes to the economics of physicians, hospitals and insurance companies, will meet even more vigorous resistance in defense of the status quo. Optimists who believe that the development of a National Health Information Network will cure healthcare’s problems might do well to note that the amount provided by Congress for that initiative to change the entire health IT system is only a fraction more than the amount Big Pharma’s rustled up for its single issue campaign in California.

POLICY: Wal-Mart caught with hand in cookie jar — affixs grin, and says “Look over there!”

So just two days ago, Wal-Mart, which as I’ve pointed out in THCB before, has never really been serious about offering health benefits to its workers given that it makes higher profit margins when it doesn’t, apparently had a change of heart. The change of heart involved giving basically minimum wage the chance to pour their huge amount of extra savings into an HSA, and also to get health insurance (without a maximum benefits cap of a massive $25,000) after only one year of employment — ignoring the fact that Walmart deliberately has some of the highest turnover rates of any large corporation. But while Don McCane from the single payer crowd was not impressed, at least one usually non-free market loony blogger was somewhat convinced. (Note the somewhat jaded comment on Joe’s post from yours truly, in which I said that he was an optimist).

Why was he an optimist?  Because any large or small employer that depends on a low income workforce will do better financially by letting that workforce turn-over quickly and keeping their benefits as low as possible. The Costcos and Starbucks are exceptions and their margins suffer in comparison. Of course when you’re talking about health benefits, you’d also do well to try to get your employee population to be younger and healthier than average, or else America’s former largest employer may be your future model. (as Uwe says, GM is an insurance company that builds cars to defray its health care  expenses). So what did you really expect from the Beast of Bentonville.

Well of course it doesn’t take long to realize that Wal-Mart can’t help but trip over its feet in the PR department, event though it’s barely out of the glow of the minuscule positive spin it was getting. The NY Times gets its hands on the memo that tells the reality: Wal-Mart Memo Suggests Ways to Cut Employee Benefit Costs. What’s the rationale?  Get the unhealthy employees out of there, and also eighty-six the ones that stick around and might collect those benefits. And of course hire McKinsey to tell you about that strategy, because you really need $700 an hour consultants to tell you how to reduce your health care costs using those techniques!

In some ways I have a smidgen of sympathy for Wal-Mart. After all they weren’t even around when the ridiculous employer-based system was created. But it’s only a smidgen. Given that employment based insurance is  what we’ve got, and given that Wal-Mart is one of the planet’s most profitable companies, it could easily take the high road. Alternatively, it  could easily use its political muscle to push for genuine universal health insurance in which everyone (including big corporations) pays a fair share. Instead it just wants to get out of any notion of responsibility, and dump everything on some one else–usually its employees and the taxpayer.

And apparently it’s a family trait.

POLICY/CONSUMERS: Privacy and pizza

Here is a fabulous ACLU movie on ordering a pizza in 2010 and the inherent violations of privacy that will be involved. The’ve got the date for the all the medical data far too early though (most stuff will still be on paper then), and actually most of that data use is banned already–unless it’s really for medical uses. Plus there will not be a national healh plan by 2010, even if most lefty ACLU supporters (like me) would favor that! The risk is far greater that employers and their private health plan agents will be "suggesting" that their employees agree to these restrictions (in fact last week one employer added an extra charge for smokers to their health premium)

But you can see where we’re headed without some real safeguards built in, which is why the Health Privacy Project gang are doing such good work. (Even if I diss them from time to time).

POLICY: Cohn and the wanna-be abstinents, by Jonathan Cohn

I was somewhat doubtful about the Harris Poll on abstinence last week. (Non)-Volvo-driving, latte-drinking Jonathan Cohn actually knows something about abstinence. Not that I’m sure what that says about Harvard in the early 1990s but here’s what he told me.
I wonder about the results of that WSJ poll on abstinence.  I strongly suspect the wording gave a skewed result — as in skewed towards abstinence — perhaps because the word "abstinence" makes the idea seem more favorable. I actually researched this very question not long ago for an article.  When you ask about "sex before marriage," rather than abstinence, you get a much different set of results.  Here’s gallup’s tracking on this, up through 2001, the last time they asked the question…

39. There is a lot of discussion about the way morals and sexual attitudes are changing in this country. What is your opinion about this? Do you think it is wrong for a man and a woman to have sexual relations before marriage, or not?

BASED ON — 491 — NATIONAL ADULTS IN FORM A; ±5 PCT. PTS.

Yes, wrong

No, not wrong

No opinion

2001 May 10-14

38

60

2

1998 Nov 20-22

40

56

4

1996 May 28-29

40

55

6

1991 Aug 29-Sep 3

40

54

6

1987 Jul 10-13

46

48

6

1985 Apr 12-15

39

52

9

1973 Jul 6-9

47

43

9

1969 Jul 24-29

68

21

11

And here, for good measure, is a press release from Concerned Women For America (last seen lobbying against Plan B) pointing to the poll as proof of our society’s moral decay:

>Also, an ABC primetime live poll from last year had the number at 61 percent overall saying it’s ok to have premarital sex.  That’s pretty damn close to 60, which gives me confidence that it’s correct.
Now, as for your question whether there are some hypocrites out there, this Kaiser/ABC poll from April 1998 seems to answer that question — in the affirmative:

Q34. Did you have sex before you got married?

Based on those currently or ever married, n=910

66 Yes30 No4 Don’t know/Refused

I also seem to recall CDC data suggesting a much higher figure among people married in the last ten years, although of course that skews heavily by age so that’s not so surprising. Alas, all of this probably means the support for universal health care isn’t as high as the wsj poll suggests.  But, of course, you and I both knew that already…

POLICY/BLOGS: Enthoven coming up on Novack show

Don’t get too used to an unregurgitated Marxist like me saying this, but you should listen to a radio station called 960The Patriot this weekend, as Eric Novack has Alain Enthoven on his show on Sunday from 3-4pm Arizona time. This may be the first time that Eric’s had anyone on who disagrees with him, and I’m looking forward to hearing it. It’ll be in the archives section on Eric’s site later.

Here’s what I wrote about Enthoven and his quarrel with the CDHP crowd.

(I wrote longer wittier stuff in an earlier version of this but Typepad ate it, so I’m giving up for the afternoon. See you Monday!)

assetto corsa mods