Whole Woman’s Health v. Cole, the Texas abortion case that is now before the Supreme Court, is really about the rule of law and how federal judges maintain it by holding states to external standards. The case follows Planned Parenthood of Southeastern Pa. v. Casey, which forbade states from using the desire to protect women’s health as a pretext for curtailing their access to abortion services. But how is a judge to distinguish a pretext from a genuine concern for patient safety?
Casey seemed to say that unless all possible connections between a regulation and patients’ wellbeing can be ruled out completely, a state’s proffered reason is bona fide. That’s far too weak a standard, and later cases seemed to confirm it by saying that states don’t have to show that their laws will actually protect women from documented perils. Seeing this, Texas and other pro-life states have done exactly what Casey forbids. They’ve enacted laws that shut down abortion clinics while shouting “Women are in danger! Women are in danger!” The issue in Cole is whether states must prove that access-impeding laws address real safety problems. If the Court says no, Casey will be a dead letter.
It should be plain to everyone that lawmakers won’t respect constitutional limitations on their own. Politics is a brass-knuckles world. The people who thrive in it aren’t rule-followers by nature, and their incentives are terrible. When they can gain by doing something, they will, the Constitution be damned. That’s where judges come in. They’re supposed to keep lawmakers in line by delivering swift kicks to their posteriors when they violate the Constitution.