By THCBist
A THCB reader in New York writes in with this timely observation:
“If you want everyone to be able to get insurance, everyone has to actually have insurance.
Most people agree that one shouldn’t be denied insurance because of illness and pre-existing conditions. This is probably the least controversial aspect of healthcare reform. The problem is, you can’t insist that insurance companies sell to all comers at reasonable rates unless you also guarantee a sufficiently large risk pool that includes the healthy as well as the sick.
If you don’t see to it that the healthy sign up, people will go without insurance until they get sick, and the pool of the insured will become so costly that premiums will quickly spiral out of control.
So, to make sure everyone CAN get insurance, everyone MUST get insurance.
This isn’t a moral or political stance, it’s not something you can choose to believe in, it’s basic economics.
The problem with the ACA’s approach to ensuring universal coverage is that the incentives for the healthy to sign up are too weak.
The healthy who decide not to purchase insurance will have to pay a penalty, but that penalty will usually be substantially lower than the price of insurance. Perversely, this weakened approach to ensuring universal coverage could make things worse than they are today. How?
Today, if I’m healthy and uninsured, I know that if I develop a serious illness, I won’t be able to get coverage. At all. This is an incentive for me to go out and spend the money on insurance. Once the ACA is in full force, if I decide that I would rather pay the (cheaper) penalty than buy insurance, I have the security that should I become sick, assuming it’s not a super emergency, I will be able to get insurance to cover future costs, since policies will have to be offered to all. This security blanket for those who choose to remain uninsured is a major problem.”
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